Rugby

Tennis

Cesena - Calcio Padova: our prediction

08/05/2026•20:30

Cesena

3:4

(3:3)

Finished

Calcio Padova

Cesena vs Calcio Padova Preview — Serie B

Cesena, favorite with odds of 1.51, faces Calcio Padova. Cesena has a low win rate (10%) but many draws (50%). Padova has better recent away form (2 wins in 10). Both teams struggle to score, with a trend towards under 2.5 goals.

Our Cesena vs Calcio Padova predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Cesena has seen over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their matches, and Padova only 30%. Both teams tend to play low-scoring games. Padova, away from home, has an even lower goal average. The odds of 5.0 for 'under 2.5' are attractive and reflect a high probability.

2.38

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 1.5 goals for Calcio Padova

Padova has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches. Away from home, their goal average is even lower. Cesena, although favorite, does not have an impenetrable defense but should be able to contain a not very prolific Padova attack. This bet is very solid.

1.51

Confidence

High (65 %)

Draw

Cesena has drawn in 50% of their last 10 matches, a very high rate. Padova, although often losing, has shown some resilience. The odds of 4.2 for a draw are high and reflect a non-negligible probability, especially given Cesena's tendency to share the points.

4.6

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Cesena vs Calcio Padova

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Cesena vs Calcio Padova Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Cesena	Calcio Padova
Win	1 5 4	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	50%
Win by being a favorite	33%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	43%	25%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	10%
2nd half	40%	80%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Cristian Shpendi	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Luca Di Maggio
Alberto Cerri	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Alessandro Seghetti
Tommaso Berti	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Mattia Bortolussi
Tommaso Corazza	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Gianluca Caprari
Matteo Piacentini	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Alessandro Capelli
		11% (1/9)	Christian Pastina

Total goals per player

	1	2
Cristian Shpendi	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Luca Di Maggio
Tommaso Corazza	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Alessandro Seghetti
Alberto Cerri	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alessandro Capelli
Matteo Piacentini	⚽1	⚽1	Mattia Bortolussi
Tommaso Berti	⚽1	⚽1	Gianluca Caprari
		⚽1	Christian Pastina

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	100%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	50%	70%
Over corners 9.5	40%	50%
Over corners 10.5	30%	30%
Over corners 11.5	30%	20%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	90%
Over corners 3.5	60%	40%
Over corners 4.5	20%	30%
Over corners 5.5	20%	20%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	80%
1.5	50%	70%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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