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Qarabag FK - Turan Tovuz: our prediction

04/05/2026•17:30

Qarabag FK

2:1

(0:0)

Finished

Turan Tovuz

Qarabag FK vs Turan Tovuz Preview — Premier League

Qarabag FK, favorite with odds of 1.48, faces Turan Tovuz. Qarabag has shown inconsistent form with a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, but remains strong at home. Turan Tovuz has a poor away record (1 win in 10 matches). Both teams score in 50% of cases.

Our Qarabag FK vs Turan Tovuz predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Turan Tovuz

This bet is also consistent. Turan Tovuz has shown offensive weakness away from home, and statistics indicate that in 50% of their matches, they score less than 1.5 goals (underparou15). Qarabag has a clean sheet rate of 30% (3/10), meaning they can keep a clean sheet. With Qarabag's defense and Turan Tovuz's difficulty scoring away from home, it is likely that Turan Tovuz will score 0 or 1 goal, thus under 1.5.

1.48

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 3.5 goals in the match

This bet is consistent with Qarabag's victory. Statistics show that Turan Tovuz has a very strong tendency for matches with under 3.5 goals (90% of their last 10 matches). Qarabag also has 40% of their matches under this threshold. Combined with Turan Tovuz's offensive weakness away from home, a score of 2-0 or 2-1 is likely, which remains under 3.5 goals.

1.3

Confidence

High (65 %)

Qarabag FK to win

Qarabag FK is the logical favorite with odds of 1.48. Although their recent form is inconsistent (40% wins), they are playing at home against a Turan Tovuz side that has very little success away from home (1 win in 10 matches). Statistics show Qarabag has a 44% win rate when favored (4/9), while Turan Tovuz has never lost as an underdog (1 match, 1 win), but this is not representative. Qarabag's attacking power, with scorers like Camilo Duran (7 goals) and Leandro Andrade (5 goals), should make the difference.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Qarabag FK vs Turan Tovuz

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Qarabag FK vs Turan Tovuz Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Qarabag FK	Turan Tovuz
Win	4 2 4	6 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	33%
Win by being a favorite	44%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	100%
Win by being an outsider	0%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	50% 50%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Leandro Andrade	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Jo
Camilo Duran	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Aikhan Guseynov
Emmanuel Addai	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ibrahima Wadji
Musa Gurbanly	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Haiderson Hurtado
Ramil Sheydaev	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Filip Ozobic
Dani Bolt	⚽1	⚽1	Alex Serrano
Matheus Silva	⚽1	⚽1	Rahim Sadikhov
Mohammad Zubir Azmi	⚽1
Oleksii Kashchuk	⚽1
Jonathan Montiel	⚽1
Marko Jankovic	⚽1
Abdellah Zoubir	⚽1
Kady Malinowski	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	0%
Over corners 7.5	100%	0%
Over corners 8.5	90%	0%
Over corners 9.5	90%	0%
Over corners 10.5	60%	0%
Over corners 11.5	30%	0%
Over corners 12.5	30%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	10%	0%
Over corners 3.5	10%	0%
Over corners 4.5	10%	0%
Over corners 5.5	10%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	0%
1.5	0%	0%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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