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Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets: our prediction

17/04/2026•11:35

Melbourne Victory

2:2

(2:1)

Finished

Newcastle Jets

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Preview — A-League Men

Melbourne Victory hosts Newcastle Jets in an A-League match. Melbourne is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.85, but their recent form is mixed (4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses in the last 10). Newcastle, away from home, has a better win record (6/10) and scores regularly. Both teams score often (80% of matches for each). An open game with goals is expected.

Our Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets predictions

Both teams to score

In the last 10 matches, Melbourne Victory has seen both teams score in 80% of cases (8/10). Newcastle Jets shows the same statistic (8/10). Neither defense is solid (0 clean sheets for Melbourne, 2 for Newcastle in 10). Attacks are active on both sides. Statistically very strong.

1.33

Confidence

Very high

Newcastle Jets scores at least 1 goal

Newcastle Jets has scored in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Melbourne Victory has kept no clean sheets in that period (0/10). Newcastle's attack, with scorers like Clayton Taylor (5 goals) and Lachlan Bayliss (4 goals), should find the back of the net against a vulnerable defense.

1.18

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

Melbourne Victory exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Newcastle Jets did so in 70% of cases (7/10). The 'Both teams to score' trend combined with unreliable defenses supports a scenario with over 2 goals. The average goals per match is high for both.

1.35

Confidence

High

Market signals on Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Melbourne Victory	Newcastle Jets
Win	4 4 2	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	25%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	80%
Win by being a favorite	43%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	33%
Win by being an outsider	33%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	100%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	80% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	30%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Juan Mata	38% (3/8)	56% (5/9)	Eli Adams
Charles Nduka	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Kota Mizunuma
Nikolaos Vergos	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Ben Gibson
Nishan Velupillay	20% (2/10)	25% (2/8)	Clayton Taylor
Clarismario Rodrigus	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Daniel Wilmering
Sebastian Esposito	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Xavier Bertoncello
Franco Lino	17% (1/6)	11% (1/9)	Will Dobson
Keegan Jelacic	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Mark Natta
Jason Davidson	13% (1/8)
Denis Genreau	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Juan Mata	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Eli Adams
Charles Nduka	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Kota Mizunuma
Nikolaos Vergos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Xavier Bertoncello
Clarismario Rodrigus	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ben Gibson
Nishan Velupillay	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Clayton Taylor
Keegan Jelacic	⚽1	⚽1	Will Dobson
Jason Davidson	⚽1	⚽1	Daniel Wilmering
Franco Lino	⚽1	⚽1	Mark Natta
Sebastian Esposito	⚽1
Denis Genreau	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	50%
Over corners 9.5	70%	40%
Over corners 10.5	60%	30%
Over corners 11.5	60%	20%
Over corners 12.5	50%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	90%	90%
Over corners 4.5	80%	60%
Over corners 5.5	70%	20%
Over corners 6.5	60%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	60%
1.5	60%	20%
2.5	30%	10%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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