AD Aserri - Cariari: our prediction
12/04/2026•21:00
AD Aserri
2:2
(2:1)
Finished
Cariari
-
1
-
X
-
2
AD Aserri vs Cariari Preview — Liga de Ascenso Clausura Grp. B
AD Aserri hosts Cariari in the Liga de Ascenso Clausura. Bookmakers have Cariari as slight favorites (odds 2.34 vs 2.49 for Aserri). Both teams show irregular form with only 2 wins each in their last 10 matches. Statistics suggest a tight game, potentially low-scoring.
Our AD Aserri vs Cariari predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, AD Aserri had under 2.5 goals in 5 instances (50%). Cariari shows the same ratio (5/10). Aserri's home attack is weak (only 6 goals scored in 10 matches). Cariari's away defense is vulnerable (9 goals conceded), but the away attack is also limited. Half-time statistics (often under 0.5 goals) confirm a trend towards low-scoring games.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Cariari scores under 0.5 goals (no goal)
In its last 10 away matches, Cariari failed to score in 2 instances (20%). However, the 'underparou05' indicator for Cariari (away team) shows a 90% success rate (9/10) for 'Under 0.5 goals per team at half-time', indicating a very slow start. AD Aserri at home kept a clean sheet in 40% of cases (4/10). Given Cariari's weak away attack and Aserri's relative defensive capability at home, a match without a goal from the visitors is a plausible scenario.
2
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Both teams have an identical draw rate of 40% in their last 10 matches (4 draws each). Neither clearly dominates the other in terms of form. AD Aserri, at home, struggles to win (only 1 win in 10 matches). Cariari, slight favorites with bookmakers, have won only 20% of their matches as favorites in the period. A points-sharing scenario is plausible in a balanced match between two inefficient teams.
3.2
Confidence
Low
Market signals on AD Aserri vs Cariari
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AD Aserri vs Cariari Statistics
Win
Win | 2 4 4 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 14% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 70% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 10% |
2nd half | 30% | 90% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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