Rugby

Tennis

El Nacional - Aucas: our prediction

07/12/2025•20:00

El Nacional

3:1

(1:1)

Finished

Aucas

El Nacional vs Aucas Preview — Serie A Placement Group

El Nacional, struggling recently (2 wins in 10 matches), hosts Aucas, solid away (1 defeat in 10). The offensive statistics of both teams suggest an entertaining match with goals.

Our El Nacional vs Aucas predictions

Aucas to Win

Aucas is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.47). Over the last 10 matches, they have suffered only one defeat, showing solid consistency (4 wins, 5 draws). Against a struggling El Nacional (5 defeats in 10) and with overall better performances, Aucas has a strong chance of winning, even away.

1.48

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

El Nacional's last 10 matches all exceeded 1.5 goals, with 60% over 2.5. Aucas reaches 50% over 2.5. Both teams have attacking capabilities (El Nacional: 100% over 1.5; Aucas: 80% over 1.5), but El Nacional's defense is often breached. A match with at least 3 goals is a serious possibility.

1.74

Confidence

Medium

Both Teams to Score

El Nacional has seen both teams score in 40% of its last 10 matches, but its defense is weak (9 matches without a clean sheet). Aucas has a BTTS rate of 60% over the same period. Aucas' offensive trend and El Nacional's defensive frailties make this scenario plausible, even though Aucas could also keep a clean sheet (4 clean sheets in 10 matches).

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on El Nacional vs Aucas

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

El Nacional vs Aucas Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	El Nacional	Aucas
Win	2 3 5	4 5 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	75%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	25%
Win by being a favorite	50%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	50%
Win by being an outsider	0%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	10%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
		⚽⚽⚽3	Ederson Quinonez
		⚽⚽2	Andres Mena
		⚽⚽2	Snayder Porozo
		⚽1	Ayrton Preciado
		⚽1	Santiago Morales
		⚽1	Bruno Miranda
		⚽1	Byron Carabali

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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