Braga - Nacional: our prediction
23/11/2025•18:30
Braga
4:2
(3:0)
Finished
Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Braga vs Nacional Preview — Taca de Portugal
Braga hosts Nacional in Taca de Portugal. Bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.62, Braga has 6 wins in their last 10 matches compared to 4 for Nacional. Offensive statistics favor Braga, but Nacional has shown scoring ability away.
Our Braga vs Nacional predictions
Over 1.5 goals
Braga exceeded 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, Nacional in 7. Both teams show productive attacking with only 2 clean sheets for Braga and 8 matches where Nacional conceded at least one goal.
1.22
Confidence
Very high
Braga scores at least 1 goal
Braga scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (90% success rate). The team has a diversified attack with Zalazar (4 goals) and Horta (4 goals) as main scorers. Against a Nacional defense that kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 matches.
1.11
Confidence
High
Braga Victory
Braga shows 60% wins in their last 10 matches with solid home performance. The team scored in 9 of their last 10 matches and benefits from clear favorite status against a less consistent Nacional away.
1.43
Confidence
High
Market signals on Braga vs Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Braga vs Nacional Statistics
Win
Win | 6 1 3 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 71% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 29% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 29% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | 67% (6/9) | 44% (4/9) | Jesus Ramirez |
| Mario Dorgeles | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Paulinho Boia |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | 22% (2/9) | 20% (1/5) | Miguel Baeza |
| Ricardo Horta | 29% (2/7) | 13% (1/8) | Filipe Soares |
| Rodrigo Zalazar | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Gabri Martinez | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Fran Navarro | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Demir Tiknaz | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Carvalho | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jesus Ramirez |
| Mario Dorgeles | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Miguel Baeza |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Paulinho Boia |
| Ricardo Horta | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Filipe Soares |
| Fran Navarro | ⚽1 | ||
| Gabri Martinez | ⚽1 | ||
| Carvalho | ⚽1 | ||
| Rodrigo Zalazar | ⚽1 | ||
| Demir Tiknaz | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 50% |
1.5 | 0% | 50% |
2.5 | 0% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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