Benfica - Braga: our prediction
07/01/2026•21:00
Benfica
1:3
(0:2)
Finished
Braga
-
1
-
X
-
2
Benfica vs Braga Preview — League Cup
Benfica hosts Braga in the League Cup. Benfica is in excellent form with 8 wins in 10 games, while Braga is also solid (6 wins in 10). Both teams score regularly, but Benfica, at home, is the heavy favorite.
Our Benfica vs Braga predictions
Benfica to Win
Benfica is undefeated at home in the last 10 games (8 wins, 2 draws). The team scores regularly (at least one goal in 100% of matches) and has a solid defense (5 clean sheets). Against a strong but less consistent Braga away, Benfica has home advantage and form on their side.
1.98
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 Goals
4 of Benfica's last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals, compared to 6 for Braga. Both teams have prolific attacks (Benfica: 8 matches with over 1.5 goals, Braga: 6). With sometimes vulnerable defenses (Benfica: 5 matches without conceding, Braga: 4), an open match with several goals is plausible.
2.25
Confidence
Medium
Both Teams to Score
Benfica has seen both teams score in 4 of its last 10 matches, Braga in 5 out of 10. Both attacks are effective (Benfica: 100% of matches with at least one goal, Braga: 90%). However, Benfica's defense (5 clean sheets) may limit Braga's chances, but Braga has scored in 9 of its last 10 games.
2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Benfica vs Braga
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Benfica vs Braga Statistics
Win
Win | 8 2 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 89% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 60% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Rios | 56% (5/9) | 67% (6/9) | Pau Victor |
| Andreas Schjelderup | 40% (4/10) | 29% (2/7) | Ricardo Horta |
| Rafa Silva | 40% (4/10) | 22% (2/9) | Jean-Baptiste Gorby |
| Franjo Ivanovic | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Mario Dorgeles |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Rodrigo Zalazar |
| Leandro Barreiro | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Fran Navarro |
| Alexander Bah | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Demir Tiknaz |
| Gianluca Prestianni | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Gabri Martinez |
11% (1/9) | Carvalho |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Rios | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Pau Victor |
| Rafa Silva | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Mario Dorgeles |
| Andreas Schjelderup | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Jean-Baptiste Gorby |
| Franjo Ivanovic | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Ricardo Horta |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Fran Navarro |
| Leandro Barreiro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Gabri Martinez |
| Gianluca Prestianni | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Carvalho |
| Alexander Bah | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rodrigo Zalazar |
⚽1 | Demir Tiknaz |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 10% |
1.5 | 0% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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