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Defensor Sporting - Nacional: our prediction

09/11/2025•20:30

Defensor Sporting

1:1

(1:0)

Finished

Nacional

Defensor Sporting vs Nacional Preview — Liga AUF Uruguaya Clausura

Defensor Sporting hosts Nacional at home. Nacional is the favorite with odds of 1.75, having won 6 of their last 10 games without loss. Defensor Sporting has a mixed record with 4 wins in 10 games. Both teams score in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals are scored in 60% of Nacional's matches.

Our Defensor Sporting vs Nacional predictions

Victory of Nacional

Nacional is unbeaten in 10 games (6 wins, 4 draws) and shows a strong attack with 60% of matches over 2.5 goals. Defensor Sporting has a fragile home defense with only 2 clean sheets in 10 games.

1.78

Confidence

High

Draw

Nacional conceded 4 draws in their last 10 games, while Defensor Sporting showed home resistance with 40% of matches undefeated. Both teams' goal statistics (40% BTS) support a balanced scenario.

3.4

Confidence

Medium

Victory of Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting won 4 out of 10 home games, but against an unbeaten team, the scenario is unlikely. The home attack scored in 50% of matches, but Nacional's defense conceded only 4 goals in 10 games.

4.2

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Defensor Sporting vs Nacional

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Defensor Sporting vs Nacional Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Defensor Sporting	Nacional
Win	4 1 5	6 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	0%
Win by being a favorite	67%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	40% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	100%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	60%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		100% (5/5)	Maximiliano Gomez
		50% (2/4)	Agustin Rogel
		67% (2/3)	Maximiliano Silvera
		25% (1/4)	Tomas Veron
		25% (1/4)	Pavel Nunez
		25% (1/4)	Camilo Candido
		25% (1/4)	Juan Cruz De Los Santos

Total goals per player

	1	2
Brian Montenegro	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	Maximiliano Gomez
Nicolas Wunsch	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Agustin Rogel
Alexander Machado	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Maximiliano Silvera
Facundo Castro	⚽1	⚽1	Tomas Veron
Lucas Agazzi	⚽1	⚽1	Pavel Nunez
		⚽1	Juan Cruz De Los Santos
		⚽1	Camilo Candido

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	83%
Over corners 7.5	0%	83%
Over corners 8.5	0%	83%
Over corners 9.5	0%	67%
Over corners 10.5	0%	67%
Over corners 11.5	0%	50%
Over corners 12.5	0%	17%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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