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Ukraine - Sweden: our prediction

26/03/2026•20:45

Ukraine

1:3

(0:1)

Finished

Sweden

Ukraine vs Sweden Preview — World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round

Ukraine hosts Sweden in a crucial World Cup qualifier. Ukraine shows better recent form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches, while Sweden struggles to confirm their favorite status, with only 3 wins in 10. Ukraine's offensive statistics are solid, with a high rate of matches over 2.5 goals. Sweden, the bookmakers' favorite, will need to improve their conversion to win away.

Our Ukraine vs Sweden predictions

Ukraine scores over 0.5 goals

Ukraine has scored in 100% of their last 10 matches. At home, their attack is even more formidable. Against a Swedish defense that kept a clean sheet in only 10% of recent matches, it is very likely that Ukraine finds the net at least once.

1.37

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Ukraine has seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%). Sweden has a lower rate (40%), but Ukraine's home attack and Sweden's need to score should lead to an open game. Both teams have defensive difficulties (Ukraine: 30% clean sheets; Sweden: 10%).

2.15

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Ukraine has seen both teams score in 70% of their recent matches, Sweden in 50%. Defenses are unreliable: Ukraine kept a clean sheet in only 10% of matches, Sweden also in 10%. With Ukraine's home attack (80% of matches with goals) and Swedish offensive quality, both nets should shake.

1.82

Confidence

High

Market signals on Ukraine vs Sweden

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ukraine vs Sweden Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Ukraine	Sweden
Win	6 1 3	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	57%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	33%
Win by being a favorite	71%	29%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	50%
Win by being an outsider	0%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Oleksiy Hutsuliak	56% (5/9)	33% (2/6)	Viktor Gyoekeres
Ruslan Malinovsky	50% (2/4)	20% (2/10)	Benjamin Nygren
Ivan Kaliuzhnyi	10% (1/10)	25% (2/8)	Anthony Elanga
Matviy Ponomarenko	50% (1/2)	20% (2/10)	Yasin Ayari
Oleg Ocheretko	17% (1/6)	17% (1/6)	Anton Saletros
Oleksandr Zubkov	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Ken Sema
Georgiy Sudakov	13% (1/8)	17% (1/6)	Gustaf Lagerbielke
Oleksandr Zinchenko	25% (1/4)	33% (1/3)	Gustav Lundgren

Total goals per player

	1	2
Oleksiy Hutsuliak	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Viktor Gyoekeres
Ruslan Malinovsky	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Ken Sema
Oleksandr Zinchenko	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Benjamin Nygren
Ivan Kaliuzhnyi	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Anthony Elanga
Matviy Ponomarenko	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Yasin Ayari
Georgiy Sudakov	⚽1	⚽1	Anton Saletros
Oleg Ocheretko	⚽1	⚽1	Gustaf Lagerbielke
Oleksandr Zubkov	⚽1	⚽1	Gustav Lundgren

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	60%
Over corners 9.5	40%	60%
Over corners 10.5	30%	60%
Over corners 11.5	20%	40%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	100%
Over corners 3.5	30%	90%
Over corners 4.5	20%	70%
Over corners 5.5	20%	40%
Over corners 6.5	20%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	60%
1.5	20%	40%
2.5	20%	20%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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