Rugby

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Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal: our prediction

07/12/2025•02:00

Alianza Lima

3:3

(3:1)

Finished AP

4 tab 5

Sporting Cristal

Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Preview — Liga 1 Placement Playoff

Alianza Lima hosts Sporting Cristal in the Liga 1 Placement Playoff. The home team is favored by bookmakers. Over the last 10 matches, both teams show irregular form (5 wins each). Statistics show a strong trend for Alianza Lima matches to have both teams scoring (9/10) and for matches to exceed 2.5 goals (9/10).

Our Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal predictions

Alianza Lima to Win

Alianza Lima is playing at home and is the designated favorite (odds 2.01). Over the last 10 matches, they have secured 5 wins, a 50% success rate. They are strong at home and face a Sporting Cristal side that can be fragile away (3 defeats in 10). The 'Does not lose as favorite' trend is 5/6 for Alianza.

1.94

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Alianza Lima's matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (9 out of the last 10). Sporting Cristal has also exceeded this limit in 5 of its last 10 matches. Alianza's attack is effective (Jose Paolo Guerrero, 6 goals) and their defense often concedes. An open match with several goals is likely.

2.38

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Alianza Lima has seen both teams score in 9 of its last 10 matches. Sporting Cristal has scored in 7 of its last 10 away matches and conceded at least one goal in 7 of those 10 matches. Alianza's defense (1 clean sheet in 10) and Cristal's attack (5 goals in 10 matches) support this scenario.

2.01

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Alianza Lima	Sporting Cristal
Win	5 2 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	33%
Win by being a favorite	67%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	50%
Win by being an outsider	25%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	90% 10%	50% 90%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	50%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	90% 10%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		100% (4/4)	Gustavo Cazonatti
		75% (3/4)	Yoshimar Yotun
		67% (2/3)	Felipe Vizeu
		50% (1/2)	Santiago Gonzalez
		25% (1/4)	Catriel Cabellos

Total goals per player

	1	2
Eryc Castillo	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Gustavo Cazonatti
Fernando Gaibor	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Yoshimar Yotun
Jairo Velez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Felipe Vizeu
Jose Paolo Guerrero	⚽1	⚽1	Catriel Cabellos
Esteban Pavez	⚽1	⚽1	Santiago Gonzalez
Marco Huaman	⚽1
Alan Cantero	⚽1
Federico Girotti	⚽1
Renzo Garces	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	83%
Over corners 7.5	70%	67%
Over corners 8.5	60%	67%
Over corners 9.5	50%	67%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	50%
Over corners 12.5	20%	33%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	10%	0%
Over corners 3.5	10%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	0%
1.5	10%	0%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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