Senegal - Sudan: our prediction
03/01/2026•17:00
Senegal
3:1
(2:1)
Finished
Sudan
-
1
-
X
-
2
Senegal vs Sudan Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage
Senegal, the heavy favorite, faces Sudan. Based on the last 10 matches, Senegal shows a clearly superior form (7 wins) against a struggling Sudan (1 win). The Senegalese defense is solid, while the Sudanese attack struggles to score. A match controlled by Senegal is expected.
Our Senegal vs Sudan predictions
Senegal Victory
Senegal has won 70% of its last 10 matches, scoring at least one goal in each. Sudan has won only 10% of its matches and lost 60%. As the favorite with very low odds (1.15), Senegal statistically dominates all aspects. No major absences reported.
1.14
Confidence
Very high
Senegal: Over 0.5 goals
Senegal has scored at least one goal in 100% of its last 10 matches (Over 0.5 goals per match). Their attack is consistent and diversified with multiple scorers. Against a Sudanese defense that has kept a clean sheet in only 30% of its matches, Senegal should score easily.
1.04
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Senegal saw under 2.5 goals in 40% of cases, but Sudan did so in 90% of its matches. The Sudanese attack is weak (scores in only 20% of its matches), and the Senegalese defense is strong (60% clean sheets). This limits the likely total number of goals.
2.2
Confidence
High
Market signals on Senegal vs Sudan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Senegal vs Sudan Statistics
Win
Win | 7 2 1 | 1 3 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 13% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 10% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson | 43% (3/7) | 25% (1/4) | Aamir Abdallah |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 43% (3/7) | ||
| Cherif Ndiaye | 43% (3/7) | ||
| Sadio Mane | 43% (3/7) | ||
| Abdoulaye Seck | 29% (2/7) | ||
| Pape Gueye | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Ismaila Sarr | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Malick Diouf | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Iliman Ndiaye | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Lamine Camara | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽1 | Aamir Abdallah |
| Sadio Mane | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ||
| Ibrahim Mbaye | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ||
| Cherif Ndiaye | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ||
| Pape Gueye | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Abdoulaye Seck | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Malick Diouf | ⚽1 | ||
| Ismaila Sarr | ⚽1 | ||
| Iliman Ndiaye | ⚽1 | ||
| Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | ⚽1 | ||
| Lamine Camara | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 20% |
1.5 | 10% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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