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Nigeria - Mozambique: our prediction

05/01/2026•20:00

Nigeria

4:0

(2:0)

Finished

Mozambique

Nigeria vs Mozambique Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

Nigeria, the home favorite with odds of 1.35, faces Mozambique in the Africa Cup of Nations. In their last 10 matches, the Super Eagles have won 60% of their encounters, while Mozambique has suffered 6 defeats. Both teams often score, and a match with several goals is expected.

Our Nigeria vs Mozambique predictions

Nigeria scores over 0.5 goal

Nigeria has scored in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). With an attack comprising Victor Osimhen (4 goals), Akor Adams (3 goals), and Ademola Lookman (2 goals), it is very likely they will find the back of the net against a Mozambican defense that has conceded in 80% of its matches.

1.08

Confidence

Very high

Nigeria Victory

Nigeria is clearly favored (odds 1.35) and playing at home. In the last 10 matches, they have 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss. Mozambique has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. The Nigerian team has better form and a more effective attack (Victor Osimhen, 4 goals).

1.29

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

In the last 10 matches, Nigeria had over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, and Mozambique also in 60% of cases. Both teams have attacks capable of scoring (Nigeria: 8 matches with goals, Mozambique: 7 matches with goals). The Mozambican defense has conceded in 80% of matches.

1.7

Confidence

High

Market signals on Nigeria vs Mozambique

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nigeria vs Mozambique Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Nigeria	Mozambique
Win	6 3 1	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	75%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	17%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	17%
Win by being an outsider	0%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	50% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	50%
2nd half	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Akor Adams	57% (4/7)	57% (4/7)	Geny Catamo
Ademola Lookman	57% (4/7)	29% (2/7)	Faisal Bangal
Victor Osimhen	43% (3/7)	14% (1/7)	Reinildo
Moses Simon	29% (2/7)	14% (1/7)	Witi
Paul Onuachu	29% (2/7)	17% (1/6)	Diogo Calila
Semi Ajayi	14% (1/7)	17% (1/6)	Gildo Vilanculos
Wilfred Ndidi	17% (1/6)
Alex Iwobi	14% (1/7)
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru	14% (1/7)
Raphael Onyedika	14% (1/7)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Akor Adams	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Geny Catamo
Victor Osimhen	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Faisal Bangal
Ademola Lookman	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽1	Gildo Vilanculos
Femi Azeez	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Witi
Raphael Onyedika	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Diogo Calila
Paul Onuachu	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Reinildo
Moses Simon	⚽⚽2
Wilfred Ndidi	⚽1
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru	⚽1
Alex Iwobi	⚽1
Semi Ajayi	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	100%
Over corners 7.5	60%	90%
Over corners 8.5	40%	80%
Over corners 9.5	40%	70%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	20%	20%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	50%
Over corners 3.5	50%	40%
Over corners 4.5	20%	20%
Over corners 5.5	20%	10%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	20%	0%
1.5	10%	0%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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