Nigeria - Morocco: our prediction
14/01/2026•21:00
Nigeria
0:0
(0:0)
Finished AP
2 tab 4
Morocco
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nigeria vs Morocco Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage
Nigeria hosts Morocco in the final stage of AFCON 2025. Morocco, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.2), shows exceptional form with 9 wins in 10 matches. Nigeria, less consistent, has a prolific attack but a permeable defense. A balanced match where Moroccan solidity could make the difference.
Our Nigeria vs Morocco predictions
Under 2.5 Goals
Morocco has a low rate of matches with over 2.5 goals (only 20%). Their defense (90% clean sheets) limits opportunities. Nigeria, despite 70% over2.5, could be contained. Morocco's last 10 matches saw 80% under2.5, indicating a tendency for low-scoring games.
1.57
Confidence
High
Morocco Win
Morocco is in great form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches, including 9 clean sheets. The bookmakers' favorite, their solid defensive organization and offensive efficiency (Brahim Diaz, 5 goals) should allow them to win against an irregular Nigeria (1 defeat in 10, but 70% BTTS conceded).
2.19
Confidence
High
Market signals on Nigeria vs Morocco
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nigeria vs Morocco Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 2 1 | 9 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 78% | 90% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 90% 10% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 10% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Akor Adams | 57% (4/7) | 71% (5/7) | Brahim Diaz |
| Ademola Lookman | 57% (4/7) | 43% (3/7) | Neil El Aynaoui |
| Victor Osimhen | 43% (3/7) | 29% (2/7) | Ayoub El Kaabi |
| Moses Simon | 29% (2/7) | 17% (1/6) | Eliesse Ben Seghir |
| Paul Onuachu | 29% (2/7) | 14% (1/7) | Achraf Hakimi |
| Wilfred Ndidi | 17% (1/6) | 14% (1/7) | Bilal El Khannouss |
| Alex Iwobi | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Youssef En-Nesyri |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Ismael Saibari |
| Raphael Onyedika | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Semi Ajayi | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Osimhen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Brahim Diaz |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ayoub El Kaabi |
| Akor Adams | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Neil El Aynaoui |
| Moses Simon | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Youssef En-Nesyri |
| Femi Azeez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ismael Saibari |
| Raphael Onyedika | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Achraf Hakimi |
| Paul Onuachu | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bilal El Khannouss |
| Wilfred Ndidi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Eliesse Ben Seghir |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | ⚽1 | ||
| Alex Iwobi | ⚽1 | ||
| Semi Ajayi | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 30% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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