Sporting CP - FC Porto: our prediction
03/03/2026•21:45
Sporting CP
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
FC Porto
-
1
-
X
-
2
Sporting CP vs FC Porto Preview — Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP hosts FC Porto in the Portuguese Cup. Sporting is the favorite with odds of 2.15, showing excellent form (8 wins, 2 draws in last 10 matches). Porto, away from home, has more mixed form. Historical statistics suggest a match with goals.
Our Sporting CP vs FC Porto predictions
Sporting CP Win
Sporting CP is in excellent form with 8 wins and 2 draws in their last 10 matches, undefeated. At home, they are particularly strong. FC Porto, although solid, has more irregular away form. The home advantage and Sporting's current confidence should make the difference.
1.85
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Sporting CP has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of its encounters (8/10). FC Porto has a rate of 40% (4/10). However, derbies are often intense. Sporting has scored at least one goal in its last 10 matches, and both teams have scored in 60% of Sporting's matches and 50% of Porto's matches recently. An open match with several chances is likely.
2.4
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Sporting CP's matches (6/10) and 50% of FC Porto's matches (5/10). Sporting has a prolific attack but its defense has conceded in 6 of its last 10 matches. Porto has scored in all its recent matches. In an intense derby, both teams should find the back of the net.
2.09
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Sporting CP vs FC Porto
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sporting CP vs FC Porto Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 2 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 88% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 70% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Suarez | 50% (5/10) | 20% (2/10) | Deniz Gul |
| Daniel Braganca | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Victor Froholdt |
| Luis Guilherme | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Pepe |
| Geovany Quenda | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Jan Bednarek |
| Trincao | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | William Gomes |
| Eduardo Quaresma | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Gabriel Veiga |
| Rafael Nel | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alberto Costa |
| Goncalo Inacio | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Seko Fofana |
| Morten Hjulmand | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Hidemasa Morita | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Maximiliano Araujo | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Suarez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Deniz Gul |
| Daniel Braganca | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Victor Froholdt |
| Eduardo Quaresma | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jan Bednarek |
| Rafael Nel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alberto Costa |
| Trincao | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | William Gomes |
| Luis Guilherme | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gabriel Veiga |
| Goncalo Inacio | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Seko Fofana |
| Morten Hjulmand | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pepe |
| Hidemasa Morita | ⚽1 | ||
| Maximiliano Araujo | ⚽1 | ||
| Geovany Quenda | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 50% | 40% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 20% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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