Aliaga - Genclerbirligi: our prediction
05/03/2026•18:30
Aliaga
1:3
(0:0)
Finished
Genclerbirligi
-
1
-
X
-
2
Aliaga vs Genclerbirligi Preview — Cup Grp. B
Aliaga hosts Genclerbirligi in the Cup. Aliaga, at home, shows solid form with 6 wins in the last 10 matches, but Genclerbirligi is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.29). Statistics show both teams often score (70% for Genclerbirligi, 40% for Aliaga) and matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (60% for each). No injury information is available.
Our Aliaga vs Genclerbirligi predictions
Genclerbirligi Win
Genclerbirligi is the clear favorite (odds 1.29). Aliaga has good home form (6W/10), but Genclerbirligi has an in-form striker, Sekou Koita (5 goals). Aliaga's defense kept only 5 clean sheets in 10, while Genclerbirligi scored in 8 of its last 10 matches. Statistical value and offensive quality point to an away win.
1.47
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
Both teams have a strong tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals (60% for each in the last 10 matches). Aliaga saw 6 of its last 10 matches exceed 2.5 goals, Genclerbirligi also 6/10. Genclerbirligi's attack (Sekou Koita, 5 goals) against an Aliaga defense that regularly concedes (5 clean sheets/10), combined with Aliaga's offensive capability at home (parou05: 80%), suggests a match with at least 3 goals.
1.65
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Aliaga scored in 8 of its last 10 matches (parou05: 80%) and Genclerbirligi in 8 of its last 10 (parou05: 80%). BTTS occurred in 70% of Genclerbirligi's matches and 40% of Aliaga's. Aliaga at home can find the net, but its defense (5 clean sheets/10) may yield to Genclerbirligi's attack (Sekou Koita). However, Genclerbirligi kept only 2 clean sheets in 10, giving Aliaga an opportunity.
1.75
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Aliaga vs Genclerbirligi
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aliaga vs Genclerbirligi Statistics
Win
Win | 7 1 2 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 29% |
Win by being a favorite | 86% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 70% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
30% (3/10) | Adama Traore | ||
20% (2/10) | Franco Tongya | ||
22% (2/9) | Metehan Mimaroglu | ||
50% (1/2) | Erk Aslan | ||
13% (1/8) | Dimitrios Goutas | ||
10% (1/10) | Firatcan Uzum | ||
17% (1/6) | M'Baye Niang |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
⚽⚽⚽3 | Adama Traore | ||
⚽⚽2 | Metehan Mimaroglu | ||
⚽⚽2 | Franco Tongya | ||
⚽1 | M'Baye Niang | ||
⚽1 | Erk Aslan | ||
⚽1 | Firatcan Uzum | ||
⚽1 | Dimitrios Goutas |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 60% |
1.5 | 0% | 50% |
2.5 | 0% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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