Rugby

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Ourense - Athletic Bilbao: our prediction

18/12/2025•19:00

Ourense

0:1

(0:0)

Finished AET

ap. 0 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

Ourense vs Athletic Bilbao Preview — Copa del Rey

Ourense hosts Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey. Bilbao, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.44), is in mixed form with only 3 wins in their last 10 matches. Ourense, at home, has won 5 of their last 10 games. Recent statistics lean towards a match under 2.5 goals.

Our Ourense vs Athletic Bilbao predictions

Under 2.5 Goals in the Match

Statistics from the last 10 matches show a clear trend towards low-scoring games. Ourense had under 2.5 goals in 4/10 matches, and Athletic Bilbao in 7/10. Both Teams to Score is rare for Bilbao (1/10). A comfortable but tight Bilbao win, possibly without conceding, is a likely scenario.

1.71

Confidence

High

Athletic Bilbao to Win

Athletic Bilbao is clearly the bookmakers' favorite. Although their recent form is not excellent (3 wins/10), the gap in level between La Liga and Ourense's lower division should be decisive. Bilbao won 2 of their last 4 matches as favorites and does not lose in that role in the last 4 relevant matches.

1.44

Confidence

High

Market signals on Ourense vs Athletic Bilbao

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ourense vs Athletic Bilbao Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Ourense	Athletic Bilbao
Win	5 4 1	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	33%
Win by being a favorite	75%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	83%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	17%
Win by being an outsider	33%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	10% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	50%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		40% (4/10)	Gorka Guruzeta
		29% (2/7)	Oihan Sancet
		17% (1/6)	Nico Williams
		11% (1/9)	Aitor Paredes
		11% (1/9)	Urko Izeta
		11% (1/9)	Daniel Vivian
		10% (1/10)	Inaki Williams
		10% (1/10)	Robert Navarro

Total goals per player

	1	2
Martin Ochoa	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Gorka Guruzeta
Sergio Benito	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Nico Williams
Nacho Castillo	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Oihan Sancet
Cesar Moreno	⚽1	⚽1	Aitor Paredes
Adrian Guerrero	⚽1	⚽1	Robert Navarro
Amin Bouzaig	⚽1	⚽1	Inaki Williams
Raul Hernandez	⚽1	⚽1	Daniel Vivian
		⚽1	Urko Izeta

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	80%
Over corners 7.5	0%	60%
Over corners 8.5	0%	50%
Over corners 9.5	0%	50%
Over corners 10.5	0%	40%
Over corners 11.5	0%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	80%
Over corners 3.5	0%	80%
Over corners 4.5	0%	60%
Over corners 5.5	0%	20%
Over corners 6.5	0%	20%

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