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Atletico Nacional - Independiente Medellin: our prediction

13/12/2025•23:00

Atletico Nacional

0:0

(0:0)

Finished

Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Preview — Cup

Cup match between Atletico Nacional (home) and Independiente Medellin (away). Nacional is the favorite (odds 1.70) but has only a 40% win rate in its last 10 matches. Medellin struggles away. Statistics show a strong goal trend: both teams score often and total goals regularly exceed 2.5.

Our Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin predictions

Both Teams to Score

In the last 10 matches, Atletico Nacional has seen both teams score in 80% of cases, while Independiente Medellin has done so in 60% of cases. Nacional has an unreliable defense (only 2 clean sheets in 10) and Medellin has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches. With Nacional's attack at home and Medellin's ability to find the net, both teams are likely to score.

1.85

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

Atletico Nacional exceeded 2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches, and Independiente Medellin in 50% of its matches. Nacional has a prolific attack (9 out of 10 matches with at least one goal) but a defense that often concedes. Medellin also has offensive capabilities. With the BTS trend and the Cup stake, an open match with more than 2 goals is expected. Note: odds for this market are not provided in the JSON, estimated at 1.9.

2.15

Confidence

Medium

Atletico Nacional Win

Atletico Nacional is favored at home with odds of 1.70, but its recent form is only 4 wins in 10 matches (40%). However, the team has an attack capable of scoring (over 2.5 goals in 70% of recent matches) and plays at home. Independiente Medellin struggles away (0 wins in last 10 away matches as an outsider according to data). Nacional's defense is not solid (clean sheet only 2 times in 10), so a narrow win is likely.

2.05

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Atletico Nacional	Independiente Medellin
Win	4 3 3	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	33%
Win by being a favorite	57%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	60% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	50%
2nd half	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		75% (3/4)	Francisco Fydriszewski
		25% (1/4)	Yony Gonzalez
		25% (1/4)	Baldomero Perlaza
		25% (1/4)	Alexis Serna
		50% (1/2)	Diego Moreno

Total goals per player

	1	2
Andres Sarmiento	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Francisco Fydriszewski
Simon Garcia	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Yony Gonzalez
Andres Felipe Roman	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Baldomero Perlaza
Alfredo Morelos	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Diego Moreno
Juan Rengifo	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alexis Serna
Edwin Cardona	⚽⚽2
Marlos Moreno	⚽1
Cristian Arango	⚽1
Jorman Campuzano	⚽1
Mateus Uribe	⚽1
Eduard Bello	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	0%
Over corners 7.5	100%	0%
Over corners 8.5	100%	0%
Over corners 9.5	60%	0%
Over corners 10.5	40%	0%
Over corners 11.5	20%	0%
Over corners 12.5	20%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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