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Independiente Medellin - Atletico Nacional: our prediction

18/12/2025•01:30

Independiente Medellin

0:1

(0:1)

Finished

Atletico Nacional

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Preview — Cup

Independiente Medellin hosts Atlético Nacional in a tight Cup match. Medellin is a slight favorite with the bookmakers, but both teams show very similar statistics in their last 10 matches, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses each. Both teams score regularly, but low-scoring games are also common.

Our Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional predictions

Under 3.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, Independiente Medellin has seen under 3.5 goals in 90% of its matches, while Atlético Nacional has in 80% of its matches. Both defenses are relatively solid and the attacks are not the most prolific. A low-scoring match is very likely.

1.17

Confidence

High

Under 1.5 goals per team

Independiente Medellin has scored under 1.5 goals (i.e., 1 goal or less) in 70% of its last 10 matches, and Atlético Nacional in 60% of its matches. This indicates that the attacks are not devastating and teams often struggle to score more than one goal.

Confidence

High

Independiente Medellin to win

Independiente Medellin plays at home and is the slight favorite with bookmakers (odds at 2.52). In the last 10 matches, both teams have an identical record (3W, 4D, 3L), but Medellin has the home advantage. No information on major injuries has been found. Their ability not to lose when favored (indicator 'nepredpasfav' at 5/6 for Medellin vs. 5/7 for Nacional) reinforces this hypothesis, although confidence remains moderate given the overall balance.

2.72

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Independiente Medellin	Atletico Nacional
Win	3 4 3	3 4 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	25%
Win by being a favorite	43%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	20%
2nd half	30%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Francisco Fydriszewski	75% (3/4)
Yony Gonzalez	25% (1/4)
Baldomero Perlaza	25% (1/4)
Alexis Serna	25% (1/4)
Diego Moreno	50% (1/2)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Francisco Fydriszewski	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Andres Sarmiento
Yony Gonzalez	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Simon Garcia
Baldomero Perlaza	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Andres Felipe Roman
Diego Moreno	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Alfredo Morelos
Alexis Serna	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Juan Rengifo
		⚽⚽2	Edwin Cardona
		⚽1	Eduard Bello
		⚽1	Marlos Moreno
		⚽1	Cristian Arango
		⚽1	Jorman Campuzano
		⚽1	Mateus Uribe

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	100%
Over corners 7.5	0%	100%
Over corners 8.5	0%	100%
Over corners 9.5	0%	60%
Over corners 10.5	0%	40%
Over corners 11.5	0%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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