Rugby

Tennis

Luton Town - Swindon Town: our prediction

13/01/2026•20:00

Luton Town

3:0

(1:1)

Finished after awarded win

Swindon Town

Luton Town vs Swindon Town Preview — EFL Trophy Final Stage

Luton Town hosts Swindon Town in the EFL Trophy final. Favoured by bookmakers, Luton can rely on their efficient attack (70% of their recent matches had over 2.5 goals) to win against Swindon's solid defence (60% clean sheets). A tight match with goals is expected.

Our Luton Town vs Swindon Town predictions

Luton Town to score at least one goal

Luton Town has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Its attack is consistent, with scorers like Gideon Kodua (6 goals) and Jordan Clark (4 goals). Facing a Swindon defence that has conceded at least one goal in 40% of its recent matches, Luton has a very high probability of finding the back of the net.

1.12

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Over 1.5 goals

In the last 10 matches, Luton Town recorded over 1.5 goals in 90% of cases (9/10), and Swindon Town in 60% (6/10). Both teams tend to be involved in matches with at least 2 goals. The probability is very high for this match, given Luton's attack and Swindon's ability to score (at least one goal in 80% of its matches).

1.21

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Luton Town to win

Luton Town is clearly favoured (odds 1.56) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, Luton has won 4 times, but its attack is efficient (over 2.5 goals in 70% of matches). Swindon has a solid defence (60% clean sheets) but a less regular attack. The home advantage and offensive quality should give Luton the edge.

1.6

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Luton Town vs Swindon Town

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luton Town vs Swindon Town Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Luton Town	Swindon Town
Win	4 4 2	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	75%
Win by being a favorite	50%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	75%
Win by being an outsider	0%	75%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	20% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	50%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Kasey Palmer	50% (5/10)	30% (3/10)	Aaron Drinan
Jordan Clark	43% (3/7)	20% (2/10)	Fletcher Holman
Nahki Wells	25% (2/8)	13% (1/8)	Joel McGregor
Emilio Lawrence	20% (2/10)	33% (1/3)	Ben Middlemas
Jake Richards	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Billy Bodin
Shayden Morris	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Ollie Palmer
Hakeem Odoffin	22% (2/9)	13% (1/8)	Junior Hoilett
Liam Walsh	11% (1/9)	25% (1/4)	Ollie Clarke
Kal Naismith	10% (1/10)
Ali Al Hamadi	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Kasey Palmer	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽3	Aaron Drinan
Nahki Wells	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Fletcher Holman
Jordan Clark	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Junior Hoilett
Jake Richards	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ben Middlemas
Shayden Morris	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Billy Bodin
Emilio Lawrence	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ollie Clarke
Hakeem Odoffin	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Joel McGregor
Kal Naismith	⚽1	⚽1	Ollie Palmer
Ali Al Hamadi	⚽1
Liam Walsh	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	100%
Over corners 7.5	50%	100%
Over corners 8.5	50%	100%
Over corners 9.5	50%	90%
Over corners 10.5	40%	80%
Over corners 11.5	30%	60%
Over corners 12.5	20%	40%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	70%
Over corners 3.5	40%	60%
Over corners 4.5	40%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	50%
Over corners 6.5	20%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	20%	10%
1.5	0%	10%
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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