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FC Midtjylland - AGF: our prediction

08/03/2026•18:00

FC Midtjylland

1:1

(0:0)

Finished

AGF

FC Midtjylland vs AGF Preview — DBU Pokalen

FC Midtjylland hosts AGF in the DBU Pokalen. FC Midtjylland is the favorite with odds of 1.88. In the last 10 matches, Midtjylland has won 6 times, drawn 3, and lost 1 (60% success rate). AGF has won 8 of its last 10 matches. Both teams score often (50% for Midtjylland, 80% for AGF) and matches with over 2.5 goals are frequent (60% for Midtjylland, 80% for AGF).

Our FC Midtjylland vs AGF predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches show a strong offensive trend: 60% of Midtjylland's matches and 80% of AGF's matches had over 2.5 goals. Midtjylland scored at least 1 goal in 9 of its last 10 matches, while AGF scored in 100% of its matches. Defenses are not solid (Midtjylland: 5 clean sheets, AGF: only 1). The offensive form of both teams and the cup context favor an open match with goals.

1.81

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

AGF has scored in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10) and saw both teams score in 80% of those matches. Midtjylland conceded at least 1 goal in 5 of its last 10 matches (50% of matches with BTTS). At home, Midtjylland has a less reliable defense (5 clean sheets out of 10 total, but often against weaker opponents). AGF, with scorers like Janni Serra (4 goals) and Kevin Yakob (4 goals), has the ability to break through. The analysis of 'Clean Sheet No' confirms this trend: Midtjylland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of its last 10 matches, AGF in 9 out of 10.

1.67

Confidence

High

AGF scores over 1.5 goals

AGF has scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). The team shows a very prolific attack with several scorers (Serra, Yakob, Arnstad with 4 goals each). Facing a Midtjylland defense that conceded at least 1 goal in half of its recent matches, and considering AGF's offensive context, it is plausible that they score at least 2 goals. However, Midtjylland playing at home and being the favorite, its defense might be more focused, hence medium confidence.

2.7

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on FC Midtjylland vs AGF

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

FC Midtjylland vs AGF Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	FC Midtjylland	AGF
Win	6 3 1	8 1 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	0%
Win by being a favorite	56%	70%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	80% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	10%
2nd half	60%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Dario Osorio	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Tobias Bech
Valdemar Byskov	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Patrick Mortensen
Aral Simsir	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Henrik Dalsgaard
Edward Chilufya	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Frederik Tingager
Han-Beom Lee	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Gift Links
Julius Emefile	13% (1/8)	14% (1/7)	Tomas Kristjansson
Pedro Bravo	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Sebastian Joergensen
Franculino	20% (1/5)	11% (1/9)	Janni Serra
Martin Erlic	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Kevin Yakob
Mikel Gogorza	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Frederik Emmery

Total goals per player

	1	2
Dario Osorio	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Henrik Dalsgaard
Valdemar Byskov	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Tobias Bech
Martin Erlic	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Tomas Kristjansson
Han-Beom Lee	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Patrick Mortensen
Julius Emefile	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Janni Serra
Pedro Bravo	⚽1	⚽1	Gift Links
Mikel Gogorza	⚽1	⚽1	Kevin Yakob
Aral Simsir	⚽1	⚽1	Sebastian Joergensen
Edward Chilufya	⚽1	⚽1	Frederik Emmery
Franculino	⚽1	⚽1	Frederik Tingager

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	90%	60%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	80%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	40%
Over corners 11.5	30%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	50%
Over corners 3.5	70%	50%
Over corners 4.5	40%	40%
Over corners 5.5	30%	40%
Over corners 6.5	0%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	30%
1.5	50%	20%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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