Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton: our prediction
17/01/2026•16:00
Stenhousemuir
4:0
(2:0)
Finished
Greenock Morton
-
1
-
X
-
2
Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Preview — FA Cup
Stenhousemuir, strong at home, faces Greenock Morton, the bookmakers' favorite but less effective away. Recent statistics show an offensive advantage for the visiting team, but a more fragile defense.
Our Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton predictions
Under 3.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Stenhousemuir had under 3.5 goals in 70% of cases, Greenock Morton in 60%. The defensive statistics of both teams, especially Morton's low clean sheet rate (20%), suggest goals will be limited. No information on major offensive injuries was found.
1.25
Confidence
High
Greenock Morton scores at least 1 goal
Greenock Morton has scored at least 1 goal in 70% of its last 10 matches. Moreover, Stenhousemuir has kept a clean sheet in only 60% of its recent matches, showing some defensive vulnerability. No known major absences contradict this offensive trend.
1.3
Confidence
High
Over 1.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Stenhousemuir recorded over 1.5 goals in 70% of cases, Greenock Morton in 70% as well. Both teams have a marked offensive tendency, especially the visitor who has never scored less than 0.5 goals in this period. No information on key injuries was found.
1.3
Confidence
High
Market signals on Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Statistics
Win
Win | 7 2 1 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 83% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 50% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Anderson | 40% (4/10) | 29% (2/7) | Curtis Main |
| Gregor Buchanan | 40% (4/10) | 29% (2/7) | Cameron Blues |
| Matthew Aitken | 30% (3/10) | 20% (1/5) | Cameron MacPherson |
| Olly Whyte | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Owen Moffat |
| Ross Taylor | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Michael Garrity |
| Dale Carrick | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Nathan Shaw |
| Kane Ritchie-Hosler | 33% (1/3) | 10% (1/10) | Aaron Comrie |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Anderson | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Cameron Blues |
| Gregor Buchanan | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Curtis Main |
| Matthew Aitken | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Cameron MacPherson |
| Olly Whyte | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Nathan Shaw |
| Dale Carrick | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Aaron Comrie |
| Ross Taylor | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Michael Garrity |
| Kane Ritchie-Hosler | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Owen Moffat |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 10% |
1.5 | 10% | 10% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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