Finn Harps - Longford Town: our prediction
22/05/2026•20:45
Finn Harps
2:2
(0:0)
Finished
Longford Town
-
1
-
X
-
2
Finn Harps vs Longford Town Preview — First Division
Finn Harps host Longford Town in the First Division. The Harps are favorites but show mixed statistics with 3 wins in the last 10 matches. Longford Town also has 3 wins but a better defense. The match promises to be tight, potentially with few goals.
Our Finn Harps vs Longford Town predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics show that Finn Harps has seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 10 matches, while Longford Town boasts an impressive 90% rate (9/10 matches) under this threshold. Longford Town's low goal average (only 1 match out of 10 with more than 2.5 goals) and the general tendency of both teams to play tight matches make this bet very solid. The odds (2.5) are attractive for a high probability.
1.68
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 1.5 goals for Longford Town
Longford Town has shown very low offensive capability, scoring under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%). Furthermore, Finn Harps has managed to keep a clean sheet in 3 of their last 10 matches and conceded only one goal in several others. The combination of Longford Town's offensive weakness and Finn Harps' decent defense at home makes this bet very likely.
2.5
Confidence
High (65 %)
Finn Harps to win
Although both teams have a similar number of wins (3 each in 10 matches), Finn Harps plays at home and is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds at 2.45). Their home record is better than their away record. Furthermore, the 'Does not lose when favorite' indicator shows that Finn Harps has avoided defeat in 2 of its 2 matches as a favorite. Combined with a Longford Town defense that often concedes (6 matches out of 10 without a clean sheet), a narrow victory for the Harps is a plausible scenario.
2.18
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Finn Harps vs Longford Town
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Finn Harps vs Longford Town Statistics
Win
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 29% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 29% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 20% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Monteiro | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Aaron Doran |
| Max Hutchison | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Andy Paraschiv |
| Temiloluwa Ajibola | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Francis Campbell |
| Gavin McAteer | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Stefan Ugbesia |
| Odhran McHugh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Dean Williams |
| Conor Tourish | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Osaze Irhue |
| Joel Bradley-Walsh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alex O'Brien |
| Aaron McLaughlin | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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