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Velez Sarsfield - Newell's Old Boys: our prediction

05/05/2026•00:15

Velez Sarsfield

1:1

(0:0)

Finished

Newell's Old Boys

Velez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys Preview — Liga Profesional Apertura

Vélez Sarsfield hosts Newell's Old Boys in a Liga Profesional Apertura match. Vélez, at home, shows more solid form with 5 wins in the last 10 matches, while Newell's, struggling away, has only won once in the same period. Vélez's defense (5 clean sheets) seems more reliable than Newell's (only 1 clean sheet). Likely a tight match with few goals.

Our Velez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

The statistics of both teams clearly indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches. In the last 10 matches, Vélez had under 2.5 goals in 8 cases (80%) and Newell's in 7 cases (70%). Furthermore, Vélez's attack scores few goals on average per match (parou15 at 20%), as does Newell's (parou15 at 20%). Both teams have offensive difficulties, making a match with less than 3 goals very likely.

1.57

Confidence

Very high

Vélez Sarsfield scores under 1.5 goals

Vélez Sarsfield's attack is not prolific. In the last 10 matches, they have scored more than 1.5 goals per team on only 2 occasions (20%). Their main scorers, Pellegrini (3 goals) and Lanzini (2 goals), are not regular scorers. Facing a Newell's defense that can be fragile but statistically rarely concedes more than one goal (underparou15 at 80% for Newell's), it is likely that Vélez will score only one goal, or even none.

1.3

Confidence

High

Vélez Sarsfield Win

Vélez Sarsfield, at home, shows solid statistics: 5 wins in the last 10 matches (50%) against only 1 win for Newell's Old Boys (10%). Vélez's defense is more reliable with 5 clean sheets against 1 for Newell's. Newell's has lost 7 of its last 10 matches, showing significant difficulties, especially away. The home advantage and Vélez's superior form support this bet.

1.62

Confidence

High

Market signals on Velez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Velez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Velez Sarsfield	Newell's Old Boys
Win	5 3 2	3 3 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	43%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	57%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	67%	29%
Win by being an outsider	67%	29%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	40% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	20%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Florian Monzon	44% (4/9)	33% (3/9)	Ignacio Ramirez
Dilan Godoy	22% (2/9)	13% (1/8)	Francisco Scarpeccio
Tobias Andrada	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Jeronimo Russo
Lucas Robertone	14% (1/7)	13% (1/8)	Walter Mazzantti
Roberto Garcia	13% (1/8)	14% (1/7)	Franco Garcia
Aaron Quiros	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Facundo Samuel Guch
Manuel Lanzini	11% (1/9)	17% (1/6)	Oscar Salomon
Diego Valdes	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Florian Monzon	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Ignacio Ramirez
Tobias Andrada	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Facundo Samuel Guch
Dilan Godoy	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Oscar Salomon
Manuel Lanzini	⚽1	⚽1	Walter Mazzantti
Roberto Garcia	⚽1	⚽1	Franco Garcia
Diego Valdes	⚽1	⚽1	Francisco Scarpeccio
Lucas Robertone	⚽1	⚽1	Jeronimo Russo
Aaron Quiros	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	60%
Over corners 7.5	40%	40%
Over corners 8.5	30%	30%
Over corners 9.5	30%	30%
Over corners 10.5	30%	20%
Over corners 11.5	20%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	50%
Over corners 3.5	40%	40%
Over corners 4.5	10%	20%
Over corners 5.5	10%	10%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	70%
1.5	60%	70%
2.5	40%	30%
3.5	30%	20%
4.5	20%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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