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Olympiacos - PAOK Thessaloniki FC: our prediction

14/01/2026•17:30

Olympiacos

0:2

(0:2)

Finished

PAOK Thessaloniki FC

Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC Preview — Cup Final Stage

Olympiacos hosts PAOK Thessaloniki FC in the Cup final stage. Data from the last 10 matches shows solid home form for Olympiacos (7 wins, 70% success rate), with a very tight defense (7 clean sheets). PAOK, on the other hand, shows a capable attack (both teams score in 70% of its matches) but a more fragile defense (only 2 clean sheets). The bookmakers' favorite is clearly Olympiacos.

Our Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC predictions

Olympiacos to Win

In its last 10 matches, Olympiacos has won 7 times (70%). At home, its favorite status is confirmed by bookmakers (odds 1.85). Its solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10) and attacking efficiency (Ayoub El Kaabi and Mehdi Taremi with 6 goals each) against a PAOK defense that has conceded in 8 of its last 10 matches, point to a home win.

Confidence

High

Each Team Scores at Least One Goal

PAOK has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Olympiacos, although defensively solid, has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches as well (90%). Despite the low frequency of 'Both teams to score' for Olympiacos (30%), PAOK's strong offensive tendency and Olympiacos' scoring ability suggest both could find the back of the net.

1.4

Confidence

Medium

Under 2.5 Goals in the Match

Statistics from the last 10 matches are balanced: 5 matches for each team saw over 2.5 goals. The tight defense of Olympiacos (only 3 matches with 'Both teams to score' in 10) may limit the total number of goals. However, PAOK's offensive tendency (7 BTS matches in 10) introduces uncertainty, hence medium confidence.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Olympiacos	PAOK Thessaloniki FC
Win	7 2 1	5 4 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	90%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	75%	40%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	78%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	70% 30%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	70% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Rodinei	40% (4/10)	40% (4/10)	Alexander Jeremejeff
Ayoub El Kaabi	30% (3/10)	20% (2/10)	Anestis Mythou
Gelson Martins	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Dimitrios Chatsidis
Christos Mouzakitis	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Andrija Zivkovic
		10% (1/10)	Magomed Ozdoev
		11% (1/9)	Giannis Michailidis
		10% (1/10)	Taison
		10% (1/10)	Giannis Konstantelias

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ayoub El Kaabi	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Alexander Jeremejeff
Rodinei	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Anestis Mythou
Christos Mouzakitis	⚽1	⚽1	Taison
Gelson Martins	⚽1	⚽1	Magomed Ozdoev
		⚽1	Giannis Michailidis
		⚽1	Giannis Konstantelias
		⚽1	Dimitrios Chatsidis
		⚽1	Andrija Zivkovic

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	70%
Over corners 8.5	50%	60%
Over corners 9.5	30%	50%
Over corners 10.5	30%	40%
Over corners 11.5	30%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	100%
Over corners 3.5	90%	100%
Over corners 4.5	90%	90%
Over corners 5.5	70%	80%
Over corners 6.5	70%	60%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	20%
1.5	10%	0%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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