Chelsea FC Women - Arsenal Women: our prediction
01/04/2026•21:00
Chelsea FC Women
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Arsenal Women
-
1
-
X
-
2
Chelsea FC Women vs Arsenal Women Preview — Women's Champions League Final Stage
Chelsea hosts Arsenal in a Women's Champions League match. Chelsea is the favorite (odds 2) but has mixed form (5W, 2D, 3L in last 10). Arsenal is in excellent form (9W, 0D, 1L) and scores regularly. Statistics suggest a tight match with goals likely from both sides.
Our Chelsea FC Women vs Arsenal Women predictions
Both teams to score
Chelsea has seen both teams score in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Arsenal, while defensively solid (6 clean sheets), conceded in 4 of its last 10. Arsenal's attack is formidable (Alessia Russo: 8 goals). Chelsea, at home, should find the net. The offensive form of both teams and historical statistics support this scenario.
1.42
Confidence
High
1.5 (More goals per team) - Arsenal
Arsenal has scored at least 2 goals in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10 'parou15'). The team is confident with Alessia Russo (8 goals) and a varied attack. Facing a Chelsea defense that kept a clean sheet only 3 times in 10, the Gunners have all the cards to deliver a solid offensive performance, especially with their current form (9 wins in 10).
2.01
Confidence
High
2.5 (More goals per match)
Over the last 10 matches, Chelsea exceeded 2.5 total goals in 40% of cases (4/10), Arsenal in 60% (6/10). Arsenal's strong attack (high goal average) against a Chelsea defense that conceded in 70% of recent matches (7/10 clean sheet 'no') creates potential for a match with over 2 goals. The combination of Arsenal's offense and Chelsea's ability to respond at home makes this bet plausible.
1.44
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Chelsea FC Women vs Arsenal Women
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Chelsea FC Women vs Arsenal Women Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 9 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 89% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Kerr | 100% (6/6) | 44% (4/9) | Alessia Russo |
| Lauren James | 38% (3/8) | 33% (3/9) | Frida Maanum |
| Erin Cuthbert | 25% (2/8) | 33% (3/9) | Stina Blackstenius |
| Sjoeke Nuesken | 25% (2/8) | 22% (2/9) | Mariona Caldentey |
| Ellie Carpenter | 17% (1/6) | 11% (1/9) | Smilla Holmberg |
| Alexia Potter | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Olivia Smith |
| Johanna Rytting Kaneryd | 20% (1/5) | 17% (1/6) | Leah Williamson |
| Veerle Buurman | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Caitlin Foord |
| Alyssa Thompson | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Naomi Girma | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Kerr | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | Alessia Russo |
| Lauren James | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Stina Blackstenius |
| Sjoeke Nuesken | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Frida Maanum |
| Erin Cuthbert | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Smilla Holmberg |
| Alexia Potter | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Mariona Caldentey |
| Naomi Girma | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Olivia Smith |
| Ellie Carpenter | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leah Williamson |
| Alyssa Thompson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Caitlin Foord |
| Johanna Rytting Kaneryd | ⚽1 | ||
| Veerle Buurman | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 60% |
1.5 | 20% | 30% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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