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Arsenal Women - OL Lyonnes: our prediction

26/04/2026•16:30

Arsenal Women

2:1

(0:1)

Finished

OL Lyonnes

Arsenal Women vs OL Lyonnes Preview — Women's Champions League Final Stage

Arsenal Women hosts Olympique Lyon in the Women's Champions League. Lyon, as favorites, arrive with a 70% win rate and a solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10 matches). Arsenal, at home, has a good win rate (80%) but a more porous defense (5 clean sheets). Both teams have a strong tendency to score, but 'Both Teams to Score' is rare (30% for Arsenal, 20% for Lyon). The match promises to be tight, potentially with under 2.5 goals.

Our Arsenal Women vs OL Lyonnes predictions

Olympique Lyon to Win

Olympique Lyon is the logical favorite. In the last 10 matches, Lyon has a win rate of 70% (7 wins), while Arsenal has a rate of 80% (8 wins). However, Lyon has a more solid defense (7 clean sheets vs 5 for Arsenal). Also, Lyon has a better win rate as a favorite (70% vs 89% for Arsenal, but on a smaller sample). The odds of 2.38 for a Lyon win are attractive. The analysis of offensive and defensive performances leans in favor of Lyon.

2.2

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 1.5 goals for Olympique Lyon

Although Lyon is the favorite, its average goals per match is not very high. In the last 10 matches, Lyon has scored under 1.5 goals in 40% of its matches (4 out of 10). Additionally, Arsenal at home has a defense that can limit opportunities, with 5 clean sheets in 10. This bet is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet and a low-scoring Lyon win.

2.5

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches. In the last 10 matches, Arsenal has seen under 2.5 goals in 40% of its matches, and Lyon in 50%. 'Both Teams to Score' is low (30% for Arsenal, 20% for Lyon), suggesting only one team might score. Combined with Lyon's defensive solidity, a low score is likely. The odds of 3.5 are interesting for this bet.

2.25

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Arsenal Women vs OL Lyonnes

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arsenal Women vs OL Lyonnes Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Arsenal Women	OL Lyonnes
Win	8 2	7 2 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	90%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	83%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	0%
Win by being a favorite	89%	70%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	20% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	70% 30%	70% 30%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	50%
2nd half	40%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Alessia Russo	44% (4/9)	33% (3/9)	Jule Brand
Frida Maanum	33% (3/9)	25% (2/8)	Wendie Renard
Stina Blackstenius	33% (3/9)	22% (2/9)	Lily Isabella Yohannes
Mariona Caldentey	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Vicki Becho
Leah Williamson	17% (1/6)	22% (2/9)	Korbin Shrader
Olivia Smith	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Tarciane
Smilla Holmberg	11% (1/9)	50% (1/2)	Camille Marmillot
Caitlin Foord	11% (1/9)	17% (1/6)	Romane Rafalski
		14% (1/7)	Ada Stolsmo Hegerberg
		13% (1/8)	Ashley Lawrence
		11% (1/9)	Lindsey Heaps
		10% (1/10)	Marie-Antoinette Katoto
		20% (1/5)	Kadidiatou Diani
		17% (1/6)	Melchie Dumornay

Total goals per player

	1	2
Alessia Russo	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽⚽3	Jule Brand
Stina Blackstenius	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Ada Stolsmo Hegerberg
Frida Maanum	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Melchie Dumornay
Smilla Holmberg	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Korbin Shrader
Mariona Caldentey	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Wendie Renard
Olivia Smith	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Lily Isabella Yohannes
Leah Williamson	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Vicki Becho
Caitlin Foord	⚽1	⚽1	Tarciane
		⚽1	Romane Rafalski
		⚽1	Lindsey Heaps
		⚽1	Marie-Antoinette Katoto
		⚽1	Kadidiatou Diani
		⚽1	Camille Marmillot
		⚽1	Ashley Lawrence

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	70%	70%
Over corners 9.5	50%	60%
Over corners 10.5	40%	40%
Over corners 11.5	30%	40%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	10%
Over corners 3.5	70%	10%
Over corners 4.5	50%	10%
Over corners 5.5	40%	10%
Over corners 6.5	30%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	20%
1.5	30%	10%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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