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Arsenal - Chelsea: our prediction

03/02/2026•21:00

Arsenal

1:0

(0:0)

Finished

Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Preview — EFL Cup

Arsenal, the favorite at home, faces Chelsea in the EFL Cup. Strong recent form with high-scoring games, while Chelsea struggles away but often scores. Expect an open match with goals.

Our Arsenal vs Chelsea predictions

Over 2.5 Goals

Recent matches of Arsenal and Chelsea show a trend of high scores: Arsenal exceeded 2.5 goals in 80% of its last matches, and Chelsea in 70%. The combination of strong attacks and vulnerable defenses suggests a match with at least three goals.

1.74

Confidence

Very high

Both Teams to Score

Statistics indicate that both teams score frequently: Arsenal has seen both teams score in 70% of its recent matches, and Chelsea in 80%. With performing attacks and sometimes permeable defenses, this scenario is very likely.

1.73

Confidence

Very high

Arsenal Win

Arsenal displays solid form with 7 wins in the last 10 games (70% success rate). At home and as bookmakers' favorite with odds of 1.64, the team has a high probability of winning, backed by an efficient attack that scores regularly.

1.69

Confidence

High

Market signals on Arsenal vs Chelsea

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arsenal vs Chelsea Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Arsenal	Chelsea
Win	7 2 1	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	88%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	25%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	75%
Win by being a favorite	70%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	80% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	30% (3/10)	33% (3/9)	Enzo Fernandez
Kai Havertz	25% (2/8)	20% (2/10)	Andrey Santos
Bukayo Saka	22% (2/9)	25% (2/8)	Joao Pedro
Eberechi Eze	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Jorrel Hato
Noni Madueke	10% (1/10)	33% (1/3)	Estevao
Leandro Trossard	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Cole Palmer
Gabriel Jesus	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Alejandro Garnacho
		13% (1/8)	Tosin Adarabioyo

Total goals per player

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Enzo Fernandez
Kai Havertz	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Andrey Santos
Bukayo Saka	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Joao Pedro
Noni Madueke	⚽1	⚽1	Tosin Adarabioyo
Eberechi Eze	⚽1	⚽1	Alejandro Garnacho
Leandro Trossard	⚽1	⚽1	Jorrel Hato
Gabriel Jesus	⚽1	⚽1	Estevao
		⚽1	Cole Palmer

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	80%	90%
Over corners 9.5	70%	80%
Over corners 10.5	70%	70%
Over corners 11.5	40%	70%
Over corners 12.5	30%	50%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	70%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	70%	60%
Over corners 5.5	60%	50%
Over corners 6.5	60%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	50%	70%
2.5	20%	50%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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