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Bahia - Chapecoense AF: our prediction

Bahia

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Chapecoense AF

Bahia vs Chapecoense AF Preview — Serie A

Bahia, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.6, hosts Chapecoense AF. In their last 10 matches, Bahia shows solid form (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, a 70% success rate). Chapecoense AF, away from home, has won 2 of its last 10 away matches. Recent statistics suggest a match with goals.

Our Bahia vs Chapecoense AF predictions

Bahia to Win

Bahia is clearly the favorite (odds 1.6) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, they have a win rate of 70% (7/10) and have lost only once. Their 'Does not lose when favorite' indicator is 7 successes in 8 matches where they were favorites. Chapecoense AF has an away win rate of only 20% (2/10). No information on major absences was found for either team, strengthening the likelihood of a home win.

1.56

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals in the match

The 'Over 2.5 goals' indicator is positive for both teams in their last 10 matches: Bahia 6/10 (60%) and Chapecoense AF 5/10 (50%). Bahia scores regularly ('Over 0.5 goals (per team)' indicator at 9/10) but rarely keeps a clean sheet ('Clean sheet' only 3/10). Chapecoense AF also scores often (8/10 for 'Over 0.5 goals (per team)'). The offensive dynamic of both teams and Bahia's sometimes permeable defense suggest a match with at least 3 goals.

1.96

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

The 'Both Teams to Score' (BTS) indicator is 6/10 for Bahia and 5/10 for Chapecoense AF in their respective last 10 matches. Bahia scores very often (9/10 for 'Over 0.5 goals (per team)') but also concedes frequently ('Clean sheet' only 3/10). Chapecoense AF scores in 80% of its recent matches (8/10 for 'Over 0.5 goals (per team)'). Although Bahia is favored to win, Chapecoense AF's offensive capability and Bahia's occasional defensive weaknesses make a goal from each side plausible. No information on major absences was found.

1.95

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Bahia vs Chapecoense AF

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Bahia vs Chapecoense AF Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Bahia	Chapecoense AF
Win	6 3 1	5 4 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	0%
Win by being a favorite	50%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	40%
Win by being an outsider	100%	40%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	30%
2nd half	30%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Luciano Juba	44% (4/9)	20% (2/10)	Marcinho
Willian Jose	22% (2/9)	22% (2/9)	Neto Pessoa
Mateo Sanabria	22% (2/9)	29% (2/7)	Yannick Bolasie
Erick	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Enio
David Duarte	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Joao Paulo
Everaldo	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Rafael Carvalheira

Total goals per player

	1	2
Luciano Juba	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Yannick Bolasie
Willian Jose	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Neto Pessoa
Mateo Sanabria	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Marcinho
Erick	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Joao Paulo
Everaldo	⚽1	⚽1	Enio
David Duarte	⚽1	⚽1	Rafael Carvalheira

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	100%
Over corners 7.5	100%	100%
Over corners 8.5	90%	100%
Over corners 9.5	80%	100%
Over corners 10.5	60%	100%
Over corners 11.5	50%	67%
Over corners 12.5	10%	67%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	30%	10%
Over corners 3.5	30%	10%
Over corners 4.5	20%	10%
Over corners 5.5	20%	10%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	20%	20%
1.5	20%	20%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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