Flamengo vs Santos Fc — Prediction
05/04/2026•22:30
Flamengo
3:1
(0:0)
Finished
Santos FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Flamengo, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.34, hosts Santos FC at home. In its last 10 matches, Flamengo has won 6, drawn 2, and lost 2, achieving a 60% success rate. Santos FC, playing away, has not won any of its last 10 away matches. Statistics show a low probability of both teams scoring (20% for Flamengo, 70% for Santos). The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred in 6 out of 10 matches for Flamengo and 7 out of 10 for Santos.
Our predictions
Flamengo to Win
Flamengo is clearly the favorite (odds 1.34). In the last 10 matches, they have won 60% of their encounters (6 wins). At home, their success rate is solid. Santos FC, on the other hand, is struggling away from home, having not won any of their last 10 away matches. Flamengo's defense has kept a clean sheet in 60% of recent matches (6 clean sheets in 10), while Santos' attack scores little away. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.
1.34
Confidence
High
Flamengo - Over 0.5 Goals
Flamengo has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10 for the 'Over 0.5' bet per team). At home, against a Santos FC that has conceded at least one goal in 70% of recent matches (7/10 for 'Cleansheet no'), the probability of Flamengo finding the net is very high. Flamengo's attack is diversified with several scorers (Pedro, Lino, Paqueta, etc.). Even in a tight match, Flamengo should be able to score.
1.09
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Statistical analysis shows that the 'Under 2.5' bet has been successful in 40% of Flamengo's recent matches (4/10) and 30% of Santos' (3/10). Flamengo has a strong tendency to keep clean sheets (60% of matches), which limits the total number of goals. Santos, weak away, struggles to score. The probability of both teams scoring is low (20% for Flamengo, 70% for Santos, but this often includes matches where Santos concedes and scores, leading to over 2.5 goals). The most likely scenario is a controlled Flamengo win with few goals.
2.02
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 70% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro | 33% (2/6) | 50% (2/4) | Gabriel Barbosa |
| Samuel Dias Lino | 33% (2/6) | 50% (2/4) | Neymar |
| Leo Pereira | 25% (1/4) | 29% (2/7) | Thaciano |
| Leo Ortiz | 17% (1/6) | 14% (1/7) | Moises Vieira |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Luiz Araujo | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Jorginho | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Lucas Paqueta | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Jorge Carrascal | 17% (1/6) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Gabriel Barbosa |
| Samuel Dias Lino | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Neymar |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Thaciano |
| Leo Pereira | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Moises Vieira |
| Leo Ortiz | ⚽1 | ||
| Jorge Carrascal | ⚽1 | ||
| Luiz Araujo | ⚽1 | ||
| Lucas Paqueta | ⚽1 | ||
| Jorginho | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 70% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 10% | 50% |
3.5 | 0% | 40% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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