Chapecoense Af vs Vitoria — Prediction
05/04/2026•21:00
Chapecoense AF
1:1
(0:0)
Finished
Vitoria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Chapecoense AF hosts Vitoria in a Brazilian Serie A match. Bookmakers give a slight advantage to Chapecoense (odds at 2.40). Recent statistics show two struggling teams: Chapecoense has won only 2 of its last 10 matches, while Vitoria has won 4. Chapecoense's defense is fragile (5 defeats/10), but Vitoria is not strong away. A tight match with few goals is expected.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Chapecoense has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Vitoria has also recorded under 2.5 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Both teams have unproductive attacks (Chapecoense: 2 wins/10, Vitoria: 4 wins/10) and leaky defenses. Goals per match statistics are low. No information on major injuries was found to alter this analysis.
1.67
Confidence
High
Chapecoense scores under 1.5 goals
Chapecoense has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Its attack is ineffective with only 2 wins in 10 matches. At home, its performances are mixed (2 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats in the last 10). Facing a Vitoria defense that is not solid but not catastrophic, it is unlikely that Chapecoense will score more than one goal. No key absences have been reported.
1.25
Confidence
High
Draw
Chapecoense has drawn 3 of its last 10 matches, Vitoria 2. Both teams are in irregular form and struggle to impose themselves. Chapecoense, the bookmakers' favorite, has a poor performance as a favorite (only 2 wins in 4 matches where it was favored). Vitoria, for its part, is capable of resisting away. With unthreatening attacks, a draw is a plausible scenario. No information on major injuries was found.
3.12
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 3 5 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 50% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clar | 17% (1/6) | 17% (1/6) | Matheuzinho |
| Neto Pessoa | 20% (1/5) | 17% (1/6) | Ramon |
20% (1/5) | Gabriel Baralhas | ||
20% (1/5) | Renato Kayzer | ||
17% (1/6) | Erick Serafim |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Pessoa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Erick Serafim |
| Walter Clar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matheuzinho |
⚽1 | Renato Kayzer | ||
⚽1 | Ramon | ||
⚽1 | Gabriel Baralhas |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 88% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 75% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 38% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 38% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 50% |
1.5 | 40% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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