Mirassol - Bahia: our prediction
11/04/2026•23:30
Mirassol
1:2
(1:0)
Finished
Bahia
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mirassol vs Bahia Preview — Serie A
Mirassol hosts Bahia in a Brazilian Serie A match. Mirassol, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.25), is in very concerning form with 0 wins in their last 10 matches and 8 defeats. Bahia, away from home, shows a much more solid record with 7 wins in 10. The 'Both Teams to Score' trend is strong for Bahia (70%) and moderate for Mirassol (40%). A match with over 2.5 goals is also likely, especially on Bahia's side (70%).
Our Mirassol vs Bahia predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
This bet is supported by the offensive and defensive trends of both teams. Bahia has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of its recent matches (7/10). Mirassol, although less prolific (40%), has a catastrophic defense (8 defeats in 10, 0 clean-sheet). Bahia scores regularly (Over 1.5 goals per team in 60% of its matches) and facing a Mirassol defense that often concedes, the scenario of a match with more than two goals is highly likely. The probability is reinforced by the 'Both Teams to Score' trend.
1.87
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
The 'Both Teams to Score' statistic has occurred in 70% of Bahia's recent matches (7/10). Mirassol, despite poor results, has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches (Over 0.5 goals per team). Its defense is very weak (0 clean-sheets in 10), systematically conceding chances. Bahia, efficient in attack, has scored in 100% of its recent matches (10/10 for Over 0.5 goals per team). The combination of an in-form Bahia attack and a leaky Mirassol defense makes this scenario highly likely.
1.68
Confidence
High
Bahia to Win
The analysis of the last 10 matches is unequivocal: Mirassol is in deep crisis (0W, 2D, 8L) while Bahia is in excellent form (7W, 1D, 2L). Bahia has won 5 of its last 9 matches as the favorite. Mirassol, although designated the favorite for this match, has not won any of its last 7 matches in that status (0W, 2D, 5L). The momentum and confidence are clearly in favor of the visiting team.
3.18
Confidence
High
Market signals on Mirassol vs Bahia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mirassol vs Bahia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 2 7 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 43% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 14% | 56% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 70% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Carioca | 25% (2/8) | 50% (4/8) | Luciano Juba |
| Carlos Eduardo | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Willian Jose |
| Willian Machado | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Mateo Sanabria |
| Nathan Fogaca | 14% (1/7) | 22% (2/9) | Erick |
| Alesson Batista | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | David Duarte |
| Carlos Eduardo | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Everaldo |
| Tiquinho Soares | 33% (1/3) | ||
| Denilson | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Lucas Oliveira | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Shaylon | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Reinaldo | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Eduardo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Luciano Juba |
| Edson Carioca | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Erick |
| Carlos Eduardo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Willian Jose |
| Willian Machado | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Mateo Sanabria |
| Denilson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | David Duarte |
| Reinaldo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Everaldo |
| Nathan Fogaca | ⚽1 | ||
| Alesson Batista | ⚽1 | ||
| Lucas Oliveira | ⚽1 | ||
| Tiquinho Soares | ⚽1 | ||
| Shaylon | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 60% |
1.5 | 80% | 40% |
2.5 | 50% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Mirassol
4-2-3-1CoachRafael Guanaes
Starting XI
Substitutes
Bahia
4-3-3CoachRogerio Ceni
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Palmeiras | 67%(12/18) |
| 2 |  | Flamengo | 56%(10/18) |
| 3 |  | Fluminense | 50%(9/18) |
| 4 |  | Red Bull Bragantino | 50%(9/18) |
| 5 |  | Athletico Paranaense | 50%(9/18) |
| 6 |  | Coritiba | 39%(7/18) |
| 7 |  | Atletico MG | 39%(7/18) |
| 8 | | Bahia | 39%(7/18) |
| 9 |  | Sao Paulo | 39%(7/18) |
| 10 |  | Botafogo RJ | 33%(6/18) |
| 11 |  | Vitoria | 33%(6/18) |
| 12 |  | Corinthians | 33%(6/18) |
| 13 |  | Cruzeiro | 33%(6/18) |
| 14 |  | Santos FC | 28%(5/18) |
| 15 |  | Gremio | 28%(5/18) |
| 16 |  | Internacional | 28%(5/18) |
| 17 |  | Vasco da Gama | 28%(5/18) |
| 18 |  | Remo | 22%(4/18) |
| 19 | | Mirassol | 22%(4/18) |
| 20 |  | Chapecoense AF | 6%(1/18) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Serie A
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Serie A. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Serie A est l'une des compétitions majeures de Brazil. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Serie A, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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