Nacional - Recoleta: our prediction
05/03/2026•23:00
Nacional
1:1
(0:1)
Finished AP
3 tab 4
Recoleta
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Recoleta Preview — Copa Sudamericana Qualification
Nacional, the home favorite (odds 1.79), faces Recoleta in the Copa Sudamericana qualification. Nacional shows solid form with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches (50% success rate). Recoleta, away from home, has won 3 of their last 10 matches. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a tendency for low scores.
Our Nacional vs Recoleta predictions
Nacional to Win
Nacional is the clear favorite (odds 1.79) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, they have a win rate of 50% (5 wins) compared to only 30% for Recoleta away (3 wins). Nacional also has a solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10). No information on major absences was found. Recent form and home advantage lean towards a Nacional win, likely by a narrow margin.
1.75
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Statistics from both teams show a strong trend towards low-scoring matches. In the last 10 matches, Nacional had under 2.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10), and Recoleta also in 60% of cases (6/10). Furthermore, 'Both Teams to Score' succeeded in only 50% of Nacional's matches and 40% of Recoleta's. Defenses are relatively solid (4 clean sheets each), and attacks are not explosive (Over 2.5 goals at only 30% for both). A tight match with few goals is likely.
1.67
Confidence
High
Market signals on Nacional vs Recoleta
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Recoleta Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 4 1 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 75% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 38% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 38% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (7/7) | Allan Wlk | ||
75% (3/4) | Wilfrido Manuel Baez | ||
33% (1/3) | Junior Noguera | ||
25% (1/4) | Nicolas Marotta | ||
25% (1/4) | Fernando Galeano | ||
25% (1/4) | Pedro Rios | ||
50% (1/2) | Richart Ortiz |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bailone | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | Allan Wlk |
| Hugo Benitez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Wilfrido Manuel Baez |
| Juan Santacruz | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Richart Ortiz |
| Orlando Gaona Lugo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Junior Noguera |
| Lucas Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fernando Galeano |
| Roque Santa Cruz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pedro Rios |
| Mauricio Cabrera | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nicolas Marotta |
| Ivan Valdez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Giuseppe Guggiari |
| Josue Colman | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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