Rugby

Tennis

Alianza Atletico - Deportivo Garcilaso: our prediction

04/03/2026•03:00

Alianza Atletico

2:0

(1:0)

Finished

Deportivo Garcilaso

Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Preview — Copa Sudamericana Qualification

Alianza Atletico hosts Deportivo Garcilaso in the Copa Sudamericana qualification. Both teams show irregular form, with a low win rate (30% each in the last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially low-scoring, with a high probability of under 2.5 goals.

Our Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: Alianza Atletico had under 2.5 goals in 90% of its matches (9/10), and Deportivo Garcilaso in 80% (8/10). Both teams have unprolific attacks (Alianza: 1 goal max per match in 90% of cases; Garcilaso: 1 goal max in 80% of cases). The overall form and 'under' indicators are extremely solid.

1.46

Confidence

High

Alianza Atletico - Under 1.5 goals

The 'underparou15' indicator for Alianza Atletico has a 90% success rate in the last 10 matches (9/10). The team scored more than one goal only once during this period. Against a Deportivo Garcilaso defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of its recent matches, it is very likely that Alianza will not score more than one goal. This proposal is consistent with the 'Under 2.5' and 'Draw' bets.

1.25

Confidence

High

Draw

Both teams have a high draw rate in the last 10 matches: Alianza Atletico 40% (4/10), Deportivo Garcilaso 30% (3/10). Their win rates are identical and low (30%). The match is a qualification game, which can encourage caution. No information on major absences was found, reinforcing the idea of balance. The draw odds (2.99) offer good value.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Alianza Atletico	Deportivo Garcilaso
Win	3 4 3	3 3 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	0%
Win by being a favorite	40%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	60%	71%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	20%	29%
Win by being an outsider	20%	29%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	40% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	10%
2nd half	40%	80%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Cristian Penilla	67% (2/3)
Valentin Robaldo	25% (1/4)
Hernan Lupu	25% (1/4)
Ariel Munoz	33% (1/3)
Jorge del Castillo	25% (1/4)
Guillermo Larios	100% (1/1)
Cristhian Valladolid	25% (1/4)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Cristian Penilla	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Beto da Silva
Valentin Robaldo	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Christopher Olivares
Ariel Munoz	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Francisco Arancibia
Hernan Lupu	⚽1	⚽1	Adrian Ascues
Cristhian Valladolid	⚽1	⚽1	Hector Salazar
Guillermo Larios	⚽1
Jorge del Castillo	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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