New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights FC: our prediction
10/05/2026•03:00
New Mexico United
3:1
(1:1)
Finished
Las Vegas Lights FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC Preview — USL Championship
New Mexico United, favorite at home, faces Las Vegas Lights FC. New Mexico has mixed recent form (4 wins in 10), while Las Vegas struggles away (1 win in 10). Both teams tend to concede goals, making a high-scoring match likely.
Our New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC predictions
Both teams to score
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede goals. Las Vegas Lights FC has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches. New Mexico United is at 40% but has conceded goals in 80% of their matches (clean sheetno). With defensive weaknesses on both sides, it is very likely that each team will find the back of the net.
1.6
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics show a strong trend towards goals. New Mexico United has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches. Las Vegas Lights FC has a similar trend with 50% of their matches exceeding this threshold. Furthermore, both teams have weak defenses (rare clean sheets), making an open game with at least 3 goals likely.
1.62
Confidence
High (65 %)
New Mexico United to win
New Mexico United is the favorite with odds of 1.83. At home, they have a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, but Las Vegas Lights FC is very weak away with only 1 win in their last 10 away matches. New Mexico also has a better win indicator as a favorite (3 out of 5) compared to Las Vegas. Recent form and home advantage favor New Mexico.
1.76
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 2 3 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 20% | 44% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 11% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 11% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 80% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 70% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hurst | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Johnny Rodriguez |
| Niall Reid-Stephen | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Abraham Okyere |
| Ousman Jabang | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Christian Pinzon |
| Grady Gilchrist | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Oalex Anderson |
| Valentin Noel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aaron Guillen |
| Zico Bailey | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nighte Pickering |
| Kipp Keller | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Blake Pope |
| Cristian Nava | ⚽1 | ||
| Dayonn Harris | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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