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Miami FC - Louisville City FC: our prediction

24/05/2026•01:00

Miami FC

4:3

(2:1)

Finished

Louisville City FC

Miami FC vs Louisville City FC Preview — USL Championship

Louisville City FC, the favorite, faces Miami FC. Louisville shows solid form with 5 wins in the last 10 matches, while Miami has struggled. Statistics suggest a match with goals, with Louisville well-placed to win.

Our Miami FC vs Louisville City FC predictions

Louisville City FC to Score Over 0.5 Goals

Louisville has scored in 8 of their last 10 matches, demonstrating offensive consistency. Miami has conceded goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Louisville's offensive firepower, led by Tola Showunmi and Jansen Wilson, should allow them to find the back of the net.

1.1

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Over 1.5 Goals in the Match

This bet is highly likely. Louisville has seen over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches. Miami also has a similar trend with 6 out of 10 matches exceeding this threshold. Both teams have shown an ability to score and concede, making this scenario very plausible.

1.18

Confidence

High (65 %)

Louisville City FC to Win

Louisville City FC is the logical favorite (odds at 1.5). In the last 10 matches, Louisville has won 5, while Miami has only won 3. Louisville also has a better win rate as a favorite (5/9) compared to Miami (1/2). Louisville's current form and squad depth, with scorers like Tola Showunmi and Jansen Wilson, give them a clear advantage.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Miami FC vs Louisville City FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Miami FC vs Louisville City FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Miami FC	Louisville City FC
Win	3 4 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	67%
Win by being a favorite	50%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	75%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	0%
Win by being an outsider	25%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	30%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jurgen Locadia	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Tola Showunmi
Mathieu Ndongo	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Chris Donovan
Arney Rocha	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Jansen Wilson
Mason Tunbridge	⚽1	⚽1	Babacar Niang
Thomas Musto	⚽1	⚽1	Sean Totsch
Alessandro Milesi	⚽1	⚽1	Evan Davila
		⚽1	Ray Serrano
		⚽1	Brandon Dayes

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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