Rugby

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Independiente Petrolero - Guabira: our prediction

03/03/2026•23:00

Independiente Petrolero

0:0

(0:0)

Finished AP

3 tab 2

Guabira

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira Preview — Copa Sudamericana Qualification

Independiente Petrolero hosts Guabira in Copa Sudamericana qualification. Petrolero is the favorite with odds of 1.92, showing solid form (6 wins in 10 matches) and a prolific attack (9 out of 10 matches with over 2.5 goals). Guabira, struggling away from home (1 win in 10 matches), has a vulnerable defense. Statistics suggest an open match with goals.

Our Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: Independiente Petrolero had over 2.5 goals in 90% of its matches (9/10), and Guabira also in 90% of its matches (9/10). Both teams score frequently (BTS: 90% for Petrolero, 70% for Guabira). With defenses that regularly concede (clean sheets rare: 1/10 for each), an open match with at least 3 goals is very likely.

1.56

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Independiente Petrolero has scored in 100% of its last 10 matches (parou05: 10/10) and conceded in 90% of them (clean sheet no: 9/10). Guabira has scored in 80% of its last 10 matches (parou05: 8/10) and conceded in 90% (clean sheet no: 9/10). The defenses are unreliable (clean sheet only 1/10 for each). The strong historical trend (BTS landed in 9/10 matches for Petrolero, 7/10 for Guabira) supports this scenario.

1.5

Confidence

High

Independiente Petrolero to win

Independiente Petrolero is clearly the favorite (odds 1.92) and plays at home. Over the last 10 matches, Petrolero has a win rate of 60% (6/10), compared to 50% for Guabira (5/10). However, Guabira is weak away from home (only 1 win in 10 away matches). Petrolero has a good success rate as a favorite (winfav: 4/4). No information on major absences was found in the provided data. The home win is the most likely scenario, but Petrolero's unreliable defense (clean sheet only 1/10) suggests the win could come with conceded goals.

2.15

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Independiente Petrolero	Guabira
Win	6 4	5 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	100%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	25%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	25%
Win by being an outsider	33%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	90% 10%	70% 90%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	0%
2nd half	60%	80%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Willie	100% (4/4)
Jonathan Cristaldo	100% (2/2)
Rodrigo Gonzalez	50% (2/4)
Alan Mercado	25% (1/4)
Juan Villavicencio	50% (1/2)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Willie	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽2	Gustavo Peredo
Jonathan Cristaldo	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Rafinha
Rodrigo Gonzalez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Pedro
Alan Mercado	⚽1	⚽1	Milton Maciel
Juan Villavicencio	⚽1	⚽1	Samuel Garzon
		⚽1	Andres Moreno
		⚽1	Pablo Melgar
		⚽1	Carlos Enrique Anez
		⚽1	Ramiro Cristobal
		⚽1	Nicolas Masskooni
		⚽1	Denilso Fernandez

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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