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Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes: our prediction

30/05/2026

Puerto Nuevo

20:30

Today

Mercedes

Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes Preview — Primera C

Primera C match between Puerto Nuevo and Mercedes. Mercedes is a slight favorite (odds at 2.51 vs 2.68 for Puerto Nuevo). Both teams have a low win rate (20% each) and a strong tendency for draws (60% for Puerto Nuevo, 50% for Mercedes). Statistics show a trend towards low scoring, with 'Under 2.5' very likely (70% for Puerto Nuevo, 90% for Mercedes).

Our Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics show a high probability of under 2.5 goals. Puerto Nuevo has 70% of its matches under this threshold, and Mercedes 90%. Both teams struggle to score (low rates of 'parou05' and 'parou15') and have frequent clean sheets (50% each).

1.38

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Mercedes - Under 1.5 goals

Mercedes has a very strong tendency to score less than 1.5 goals per match (90% of its matches). Combined with Puerto Nuevo's solid defense (50% clean sheet), it is very likely that Mercedes will not score more than one goal.

1.31

Confidence

High (65 %)

Draw

Both teams have a very high draw percentage (60% for Puerto Nuevo, 50% for Mercedes). Their low win rates (20% each) and the tendency for tight matches reinforce this prediction. The close odds (2.68, 2.9, 2.51) indicate a balanced match.

2.75

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Puerto Nuevo	Mercedes
Win	2 6 2	2 5 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	0%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	78%	63%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	22%	13%
Win by being an outsider	22%	13%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	20%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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