Deportivo Alaves - Rayo Vallecano: our prediction
14/01/2026•21:00
Deportivo Alaves
2:0
(0:0)
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
-
1
-
X
-
2
Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Preview — Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey match between Deportivo Alavés (home) and Rayo Vallecano. Bookmakers give Alavés as a slight favorite (odds 2.5). In the last 10 matches, Alavés won 30% of the time, while Rayo remained undefeated in 80% of their matches as outsiders. Both teams score in 40% of Alavés' matches and 60% of Rayo's matches. 'Over 2.5 goals' occurs 50% of the time for both teams. No injury information available.
Our Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano predictions
Under 2.5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Alavés and Rayo each recorded 5 matches with under 2.5 goals (50%). Defenses have been relatively solid (Alavés: 3 clean sheets, Rayo: 2 clean sheets). With the stakes of the Copa del Rey, a tight match with few goals is likely.
1.5
Confidence
High
Rayo Vallecano to win
Rayo won 4 of their last 10 matches (40%) and lost only twice (20%). As an outsider, Rayo is undefeated in 100% of their matches (2 matches). Alavés lost 60% of their last 10 matches. The odds 3.05 offer value for a Rayo win, especially with their recent form.
3.03
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Statistics
Win
Win | 3 1 6 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Martinez | 70% (7/10) | 50% (5/10) | Sergio Camello |
| Ibrahim Diabate | 20% (2/10) | 50% (5/10) | Alexandre Zurawski |
| Lucas Boye | 29% (2/7) | 22% (2/9) | Florian Lejeune |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | 11% (1/9) | 33% (2/6) | Randy Nteka |
| Antonio Blanco | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Nahuel Tenaglia | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Angel Perez | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Martinez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Alexandre Zurawski |
| Lucas Boye | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Sergio Camello |
| Ibrahim Diabate | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Randy Nteka |
| Angel Perez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Florian Lejeune |
| Antonio Blanco | ⚽1 | ||
| Abderrahman Rebbach | ⚽1 | ||
| Nahuel Tenaglia | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 20% |
1.5 | 20% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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