Cultural Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao: our prediction
13/01/2026•21:00
Cultural Leonesa
3:4
(3:3)
Finished AET
ap. 3 - 3
Athletic Bilbao
-
1
-
X
-
2
Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao Preview — Copa del Rey
In the Copa del Rey round of 16, Cultural Leonesa (D3) hosts Athletic Bilbao (Liga). Athletic, the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.62), shows mixed form (2 wins/last 10 games) but a solid defense (5 clean sheets/10). Cultural Leonesa, ambitious at home, has scored in 70% of its recent matches. A match where the hierarchy gap could translate into a modest Athletic win.
Our Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Cultural Leonesa had under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches, and Athletic Bilbao in 70%. Athletic, the favorite, might control the game without seeking to run up the score, especially as its recent offensive trend is moderate (under 1.5 goals/team in 90% of cases). Cultural Leonesa, although capable of scoring, may struggle against a higher-level defense. A potentially tight match with few goals is conceivable.
1.75
Confidence
High
Athletic Bilbao Win
Athletic Bilbao, a Liga team, is clearly favored against a D3 club. Despite recent mixed form (2 wins/10), the gap in level, individual quality, and motivation in the Copa del Rey should prevail. Athletic's defense (5 clean sheets/10) is solid. Cultural Leonesa, despite its offensive mindset at home (scored in 7 of last 10), may struggle to contain the opponent's experience. No information on major absences was found.
1.58
Confidence
High
Market signals on Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao Statistics
Win
Win | 5 2 3 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 17% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 75% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 20% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Chacon | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Gorka Guruzeta |
| Victor Moreno | 20% (2/10) | 29% (2/7) | Oihan Sancet |
| Bicho | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Daniel Vivian |
| Lucas Ribeiro | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Robert Navarro |
| Rafael Tresaco | 17% (1/6) | 11% (1/9) | Aitor Paredes |
| Sergi Maestre | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Urko Izeta |
| Matia Barzic | 13% (1/8) | 17% (1/6) | Nico Williams |
10% (1/10) | Inaki Williams |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Chacon | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gorka Guruzeta |
| Victor Moreno | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Nico Williams |
| Bicho | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Oihan Sancet |
| Lucas Ribeiro | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Inaki Williams |
| Matia Barzic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Vivian |
| Rafael Tresaco | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Urko Izeta |
| Sergi Maestre | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aitor Paredes |
⚽1 | Robert Navarro |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 10% |
1.5 | 20% | 10% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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