USA - Canada: our prediction
05/03/2026•00:45
USA
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Canada
-
1
-
X
-
2
USA vs Canada Preview — SheBelieves Cup
The United States, favorites at home, face Canada in the SheBelieves Cup. The USA show excellent form with 9 wins in the last 10 matches, while Canada struggles away.
Our USA vs Canada predictions
United States Victory
The United States have won 9 of their last 10 matches (90% success rate) and lost only once as favorites. At home, their attack is effective (Over 1.5 goals per team in 90% of cases) and their defense solid (8 clean sheets in 10 matches). Canada, on the other hand, has lost 6 of its last 10 matches and has not won any match as an outsider. No information on major absences was found.
1.44
Confidence
Very high
United States over 1.5 goals
The United States have scored over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%). Their attack is diversified with several scorers (Macario and Sears with 5 goals each). Facing a Canadian defense that has not kept a clean sheet in its last 10 matches, the USA should easily exceed the 1.5 goal mark.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Market signals on USA vs Canada
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
USA vs Canada Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 4 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 86% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 90% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 80% 20% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 40% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 60% |
2nd half | 20% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Sentnor | 25% (2/8) | 100% (1/1) | Vanessa Gilles |
| Trinity Rodman | 25% (2/8) | 100% (1/1) | Janine Sonis |
| Jaedyn Shaw | 25% (2/8) | 100% (1/1) | Sydney Collins |
| Emma Sears | 20% (2/10) | 100% (1/1) | Nichelle Prince |
| Catarina Macario | 100% (2/2) | ||
| Lindsey Heaps | 25% (2/8) | ||
| Rose Lavelle | 25% (2/8) | ||
| Emily Sams | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Olivia Moultrie | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Naomi Girma | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Croix Bethune | 33% (1/3) | ||
| Alyssa Thompson | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Kennedy Wesley | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Reilyn Turner | 50% (1/2) | ||
| Jameese Joseph | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Sentnor | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Nichelle Prince |
| Catarina Macario | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Vanessa Gilles |
| Lindsey Heaps | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Sydney Collins |
| Trinity Rodman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Janine Sonis |
| Emma Sears | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Rose Lavelle | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Jaedyn Shaw | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Naomi Girma | ⚽1 | ||
| Olivia Moultrie | ⚽1 | ||
| Jameese Joseph | ⚽1 | ||
| Kennedy Wesley | ⚽1 | ||
| Croix Bethune | ⚽1 | ||
| Alyssa Thompson | ⚽1 | ||
| Reilyn Turner | ⚽1 | ||
| Emily Sams | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 67% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 67% | 25% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners 10.5 | 33% | 25% |
Over corners 11.5 | 17% | 25% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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