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Gimcheon Sangmu - Incheon United: our prediction

09/05/2026•09:30

Gimcheon Sangmu

0:3

(0:2)

Finished

Incheon United

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United Preview — K-League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu, favorite at home, faces Incheon United. Statistics show a high probability that both teams will score (70% for Gimcheon, 60% for Incheon). Gimcheon has a low win rate (20%), but has only lost 3 times in 10. Incheon has a good away record with 4 wins in 10. The match promises to be tight.

Our Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United predictions

Both teams to score

The 'bts' indicator (Both teams to score) is relevant. Gimcheon Sangmu has seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Incheon United in 60%. Both teams have defensive issues (Gimcheon kept a clean sheet only 2 times, Incheon 3 times in 10). Additionally, key attackers like Jae-Hyun Go (3 goals) for Gimcheon and Stefan Mugosa (6 goals) for Incheon are in form. The home match for Gimcheon and Incheon's good away offensive form reinforce this prediction.

1.83

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 3.5 goals

The 'under35' indicator (Under 3.5 goals) is solid. Gimcheon Sangmu has seen under 3.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches, and Incheon United in 80%. Both teams tend to play low-scoring games. Although both teams often score, the total number of goals generally remains low. The attractive odds and high statistical probability make this bet very interesting.

1.23

Confidence

High (65 %)

Draw

The 'matchnull' indicator (Draw) is plausible. Gimcheon Sangmu has drawn in 50% of their last 10 matches, while Incheon United has a draw rate of 30%. The two teams are close in terms of form and statistics. Gimcheon is favorite but has a low win rate (20%), while Incheon is solid away. A draw is a very likely result, especially given Gimcheon's tendency to share the points.

3.12

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Gimcheon Sangmu	Incheon United
Win	2 5 3	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	60%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	40%
Win by being a favorite	25%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	17%	25%
Win by being an outsider	17%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	60% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Kun-Hee Lee	20% (2/10)	40% (4/10)	Morgan Ferrier
Tae-Joon Park	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Dong-Ryul Lee
Joo-Chan Kim	25% (2/8)	22% (2/9)	Juan Ibiza
Jae-Hyun Go	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Gerso Fernandes
Jun-Soo Byeon	13% (1/8)	29% (2/7)	Stefan Mugosa
In-Kyun Kim	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Chung-Yong Lee
Cheol-Woo Park	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Myeong-Ju Lee

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jae-Hyun Go	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Morgan Ferrier
Joo-Chan Kim	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Stefan Mugosa
Tae-Joon Park	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Gerso Fernandes
Kun-Hee Lee	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Dong-Ryul Lee
Jun-Soo Byeon	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Juan Ibiza
In-Kyun Kim	⚽1	⚽1	Myeong-Ju Lee
Cheol-Woo Park	⚽1	⚽1	Chung-Yong Lee

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	80%
Over corners 7.5	60%	60%
Over corners 8.5	60%	30%
Over corners 9.5	60%	20%
Over corners 10.5	40%	10%
Over corners 11.5	20%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	90%	60%
Over corners 4.5	70%	50%
Over corners 5.5	50%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	90%	60%
2.5	70%	30%
3.5	30%	10%
4.5	20%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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