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Incheon United - Pohang Steelers: our prediction

12/05/2026•12:30

Incheon United

0:1

(0:1)

Finished

Pohang Steelers

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Preview — K-League 1

Incheon United hosts Pohang Steelers in a K-League 1 match. Incheon is the favorite with odds of 2.45. Both teams have shown similar form, with 5 wins in their last 10 matches. Incheon tends to score more goals, while Pohang has a better defense. Both teams score in 50% of Incheon's matches and 20% of Pohang's.

Our Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Pohang Steelers

Pohang Steelers have shown very low offensive capability in their recent matches. In their last 10 matches, they scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of cases. Their top scorer, Ho-Jae Lee, has only scored 4 goals in 10 matches. Additionally, Incheon United has a relatively solid defense at home, with 4 clean sheets in 10 matches. This bet is very consistent with the previous two (under 3.5 goals and both teams do not score).

2.88

Confidence

Very high (80%)

Both teams do not score

Statistics show that both teams rarely score together. Incheon United saw both teams score in 50% of their matches, but Pohang Steelers only in 20%. Additionally, Pohang kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches, while Incheon conceded goals in 60% of their matches. However, Pohang's defense is very solid, making it likely that only one team scores. This bet is consistent with the under 3.5 goals.

1.57

Confidence

High (65%)

Under 3.5 goals

Both teams have shown a tendency to play low-scoring matches. Incheon United has seen under 3.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, while Pohang Steelers recorded 90% of their matches under this threshold. Pohang's defense is solid, with 6 clean sheets in 10 matches, and Incheon scored more than 1.5 goals in only 40% of their matches. The odds (2.88) are attractive for a high-probability bet.

1.11

Confidence

High (65%)

Market signals on Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Incheon United	Pohang Steelers
Win	5 2 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	60%	60%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	33%
Win by being a favorite	40%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	75%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	60%
Win by being an outsider	50%	60%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	20% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	40%
2nd half	30%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Morgan Ferrier	40% (4/10)	40% (4/10)	Ho-Jae Lee
Dong-Ryul Lee	20% (2/10)	29% (2/7)	Sang-Hyeok Cho
Juan Ibiza	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Juninho Rocha
Stefan Mugosa	29% (2/7)
Gerso Fernandes	20% (2/10)
Chung-Yong Lee	10% (1/10)
Myeong-Ju Lee	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Morgan Ferrier	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ho-Jae Lee
Stefan Mugosa	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Juninho Rocha
Dong-Ryul Lee	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Sang-Hyeok Cho
Juan Ibiza	⚽⚽2
Gerso Fernandes	⚽⚽2
Chung-Yong Lee	⚽1
Myeong-Ju Lee	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	60%
Over corners 8.5	30%	50%
Over corners 9.5	20%	40%
Over corners 10.5	10%	40%
Over corners 11.5	10%	30%
Over corners 12.5	0%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	20%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	60%	40%
2.5	40%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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