Incheon United - Gwangju FC: our prediction
16/05/2026•12:00
Incheon United
4:0
(2:0)
Finished
Gwangju FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC Preview — K-League 1
Incheon United, the home favorite, faces Gwangju FC, who are struggling away from home. Incheon has a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Gwangju has not won any of their last 10 away games. Statistics clearly favor an Incheon victory.
Our Incheon United vs Gwangju FC predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC has a very weak attack, especially away from home. In their last 10 matches, the team has scored more than 1.5 goals only 1 time ('parou15' indicator at 1/10). Conversely, the 'underparou15' indicator (under 1.5 goals for the team) is at 9/10. Incheon United, at home, also has a good 'cleansheet' indicator (4/10) and 'cleansheetno' (6/10), showing a defense capable of limiting the opponent. The probability that Gwangju scores less than 2 goals is very high.
1.5
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Incheon United to win
Incheon United is the logical favorite with odds of 1.46. The team has won 5 of its last 10 matches (50% win rate) and plays at home. In contrast, Gwangju FC has not won any of its last 10 away matches (0 wins). The form gap is considerable. Furthermore, Incheon has a good 'nepredpasfav' indicator (did not lose as a favorite) in 3 of its last 4 games as a favorite, which reinforces confidence.
1.48
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 goals in the match
This bet is consistent with the previous two. Incheon United should manage the game without too much risk, and Gwangju FC struggles to score. In Incheon's last 10 matches, 5 have seen under 2.5 goals ('under25' indicator at 5/10). For Gwangju, it's 4/10. Combined with Gwangju's offensive weakness and Incheon's relative defensive solidity at home, a match with fewer than 3 goals is a likely scenario, though less certain than the first two bets.
1.62
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Incheon United vs Gwangju FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC Statistics
Win
Win | 5 2 3 | 1 9 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 10% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 20% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Ferrier | 40% (4/10) | 33% (1/3) | Chang-Moo Sin |
| Stefan Mugosa | 29% (2/7) | 10% (1/10) | Min-Seo Moon |
| Juan Ibiza | 22% (2/9) | ||
| Gerso Fernandes | 20% (2/10) | ||
| Dong-Ryul Lee | 20% (2/10) | ||
| Chung-Yong Lee | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Myeong-Ju Lee | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Ferrier | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Min-Seo Moon |
| Stefan Mugosa | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Chang-Moo Sin |
| Juan Ibiza | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Gerso Fernandes | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Dong-Ryul Lee | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Chung-Yong Lee | ⚽1 | ||
| Myeong-Ju Lee | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 90% |
2.5 | 40% | 80% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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