Palestino - La Serena: our prediction
16/05/2026•02:00
Palestino
5:1
(3:0)
Finished
La Serena
-
1
-
X
-
2
Palestino vs La Serena Preview — Primera Division
Palestino, favorite at home with odds of 1.92, faces La Serena, the underdog at 3.65. Statistics show Palestino has won only 30% of its last 10 matches, while La Serena has poor away form. Both teams rarely score (20% for Palestino, 30% for La Serena) and matches are often under 2.5 goals.
Our Palestino vs La Serena predictions
Palestino under 1.5 goals
Palestino has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches. The attack is weak, with only 4 total goals in 10 matches. La Serena has an average defense, but this reinforces the probability that Palestino will not exceed 1 goal.
1.45
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics show that 80% of Palestino's matches and 60% of La Serena's matches had under 2.5 goals. Both teams have a low goal average, and head-to-head matches are often tight. This bet is therefore very likely.
1.94
Confidence
High
Palestino to win
Palestino plays at home and is the favorite (odds 1.92). Despite a low win rate (30% in 10 matches), La Serena is very weak away (1 win in 10 away games). The odds and favorite status suggest a likely win, but confidence is limited by Palestino's inconsistent form.
1.92
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Palestino vs La Serena
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Palestino vs La Serena Statistics
Win
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 30% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Da Silva | 33% (3/9) | 40% (4/10) | Jeisson Vargas |
| Jason Leon | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Diego Rubio |
| Bryan Carrasco | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Nicolas Stefanelli |
| Dilan Zuniga | 20% (1/5) | 10% (1/10) | Matias Marin |
| Francisco Montes | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Lucas Alarcon |
| Cesar Munder | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Sebastian Diaz |
| Gonzalo Tapia | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Gonzalo Escalante |
20% (1/5) | Angelo Henriquez | ||
10% (1/10) | Felipe Chamorro |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Da Silva | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jeisson Vargas |
| Gonzalo Tapia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Diego Rubio |
| Jason Leon | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Felipe Chamorro |
| Bryan Carrasco | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Nicolas Stefanelli |
| Cesar Munder | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Diaz |
| Dilan Zuniga | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Alarcon |
| Francisco Montes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matias Marin |
⚽1 | Gonzalo Escalante | ||
⚽1 | Angelo Henriquez |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 100% | 90% |
2.5 | 80% | 70% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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