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CD Nublense - Universidad de Concepcion: our prediction

23/05/2026•21:00

CD Nublense

2:2

(2:0)

Finished

Universidad de Concepcion

CD Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion Preview — Primera Division

CD Nublense, favorite at home, faces Universidad de Concepcion. Nublense has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Concepcion struggles away. Both teams tend to score, but Nublense's matches are often under 2.5 goals.

Our CD Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Universidad de Concepcion

Universidad de Concepcion has a very strong tendency to score less than 1.5 goals per match. In 10 matches, they have scored 1 goal or less 9 times ('underparou15' indicator at 9/10). Their attack is weak, with only 8 goals in 10 matches. CD Nublense, at home, has a solid defense (5 clean sheets). This bet is statistically very solid.

4.18

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 2.5 goals

CD Nublense has seen 7 of their last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals (70% success rate). The home team has a moderate attack (8 goals in 10 matches) and a solid defense (5 clean sheets). Universidad de Concepcion, away, has a similar trend with 5 matches under 2.5 goals out of 10. The odds (1.75) reflect a high probability. The match promises to be tight and low-scoring.

1.8

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score (No)

Although both teams have a 'BTS' history of 40-50%, several factors suggest otherwise. CD Nublense has kept a clean sheet 5 times in 10 home matches. Universidad de Concepcion has failed to score in 5 of their last 10 matches ('underparou05' indicator at 2/10). Combined with Nublense's tendency to play tight matches (under25 at 70%), a scenario of a single scorer or a narrow scoreline is plausible.

1.86

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on CD Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

CD Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	CD Nublense	Universidad de Concepcion
Win	4 3 3	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	67%
Win by being a favorite	33%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	71%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	43%	17%
Win by being an outsider	43%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	50% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	40%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Diego Sanhueza	20% (2/10)	29% (2/7)	Cecilio Waterman
Ignacio Jeraldino	20% (2/10)	14% (1/7)	Antonio Diaz
Franco Rami	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Osvaldo Gonzalez
Matias Plaza	10% (1/10)	50% (1/2)	Daniel Barrea
Giovanny Avalos	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Jeison Fuentealba
Lorenzo Reyes	11% (1/9)	50% (1/2)	Luis Rojas
Gabriel Graciani	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Agustin Urzi
Diego Cespedes	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Diego Sanhueza	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Cecilio Waterman
Ignacio Jeraldino	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Daniel Barrea
Franco Rami	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Jeison Fuentealba
Giovanny Avalos	⚽1	⚽1	Antonio Diaz
Diego Cespedes	⚽1	⚽1	Osvaldo Gonzalez
Matias Plaza	⚽1	⚽1	Agustin Urzi
Gabriel Graciani	⚽1	⚽1	Luis Rojas
Lorenzo Reyes	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	50%	70%
Over corners 9.5	40%	50%
Over corners 10.5	20%	30%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	80%
Over corners 3.5	60%	70%
Over corners 4.5	10%	40%
Over corners 5.5	10%	20%
Over corners 6.5	10%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	100%
1.5	90%	100%
2.5	70%	90%
3.5	70%	40%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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