Independiente Medellin vs America De Cali Prediction - Odds, Tips & Analysis

31/03/2026•01:10

Independiente Medellin

0:1

2nd half

America de Cali

Match Preview

Independiente Medellin hosts America de Cali in the Primera A Apertura. Medellin is the favorite with odds of 2.00, showing solid form with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches. America de Cali, away from home, has a more mixed form with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Recent statistics show a strong goal trend for Medellin (80% of matches with BTS) and a more solid defense for America (50% clean sheets).

Our predictions

3.5 (Fewer goals per match)

Independiente Medellin has seen under 3.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches (9/10). America de Cali has seen under 3.5 goals in 100% of recent matches (10/10). Both teams have defenses that usually limit the number of goals, and Colombian league matches tend to be tight. Despite the BTS trend, a high score like 4 goals or more is unlikely.

1.24

Confidence

Very high

1.5 (More goals per match)

Independiente Medellin has exceeded 1.5 goals per match in 90% of their last 10 matches (9/10). America de Cali has exceeded 1.5 goals per match in 70% of recent matches (7/10). Both teams have attacks capable of scoring, and Medellin at home is particularly prolific. With a strong BTS trend and defenses that concede, over 1.5 goals in the match is very likely.

1.32

Confidence

Very high

Both teams to score

Independiente Medellin has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches (8/10), showing an effective attack but a leaky defense. America de Cali has scored in 80% of recent matches (8/10 with over 0.5 goals per team). Medellin at home is strong in attack, but America has scorers like Yeison Guzman (5 goals). The likelihood of goals from both sides is high.

1.82

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Independiente Medellin	America de Cali
Win	4 4 2	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	33%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	80%
Win by being a favorite	50%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	40% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	50%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Francisco Chaverra	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Yeison Guzman
Francisco Fydriszewski	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Jorge Valencia
Hayen Palacios	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Dylan Borrero
Enzo Larrosa	⚽1	⚽1	Jhon Palacios
John Montano	⚽1	⚽1	Rafael Carrascal
Leider Berrio	⚽1	⚽1	Mateo Castillo
Leyser Chaverra	⚽1
Diego Moreno	⚽1
Alexis Serna	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	25%
Over corners 7.5	0%	25%
Over corners 8.5	0%	25%
Over corners 9.5	0%	25%
Over corners 10.5	0%	25%
Over corners 11.5	0%	25%
Over corners 12.5	0%	25%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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Independiente Medellin vs America De Cali — Prediction