Independiente Medellin - Aguilas Doradas: our prediction
03/05/2026•22:30
Independiente Medellin
1:2
(0:1)
Finished
Aguilas Doradas
-
1
-
X
-
2
Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Preview — Primera A Apertura
Independiente Medellin, favorite at home, faces Aguilas Doradas, who are struggling away. Medellin has won 5 of their last 10 matches, while Aguilas has won none of their last 10 away games. Both teams score in 60% of Medellin's matches.
Our Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas predictions
Under 1.5 goals for Aguilas Doradas
Aguilas Doradas has a low offensive output, especially away. In 80% of their matches, they scored under 1.5 goals. Additionally, Medellin kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches. It is therefore very likely that Aguilas will not score more than one goal.
1.44
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Statistics show that 80% of Independiente Medellin's matches and 80% of Aguilas Doradas' matches had under 3.5 goals. Medellin has a moderate attack (only 3 matches with over 1.5 team goals) and Aguilas struggles to score away. A low-scoring match is very likely.
1.33
Confidence
High (65 %)
Independiente Medellin to win
Independiente Medellin is the clear favorite with odds of 1.44. They have won 5 of their last 10 matches (50% success rate) and are at home. Aguilas Doradas has won none of their last 10 away matches and lost 5 of their last 10. Form and home advantage strongly favor Medellin.
1.36
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Statistics
Win
Win | 5 2 3 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 83% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 80% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fydriszewski | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Alexis Serna | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Yony Gonzalez | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Baldomero Perlaza | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Diego Moreno | 50% (1/2) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fydriszewski | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jorge Rivaldo |
| Diego Moreno | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Joaquin Varela |
| Alexis Serna | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Javier Mena |
| Yony Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nicolas Lara |
| Baldomero Perlaza | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 67% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 33% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 0% |
1.5 | 30% | 0% |
2.5 | 20% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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