Rugby

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Penybont - Colwyn Bay: our prediction

28/03/2026•15:30

Penybont

0:0

(0:0)

Finished

Colwyn Bay

Penybont vs Colwyn Bay Preview — Premier League Championship Group

Penybont hosts Colwyn Bay in the Premier League Championship Group. Penybont is slightly favored by bookmakers (odds 2.42 vs 2.48 for Colwyn Bay). Over their last 10 matches, Penybont has very poor form (1W, 4D, 5L), while Colwyn Bay shows better momentum (5W, 1D, 4L). Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a limited number of goals.

Our Penybont vs Colwyn Bay predictions

Penybont - Under 1.5 goals

Very strong statistical indicator: Over the last 10 matches, Penybont has scored under 1.5 goals in 100% of its matches (10/10). The team is in great offensive difficulty, with only 1 win and a very low goal average. Even at home, this trend is confirmed. Facing a Colwyn Bay defense that doesn't concede heavily (2 clean sheets in 10), it is very likely that Penybont will not score more than one goal.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Over the last 10 matches, Penybont has seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches (6/10). Colwyn Bay has a rate of 40% (4/10). Penybont scores little (0 goals on average in the last 5 home matches according to context) and Colwyn Bay, although more performing, is not a team that wins big away. The overall defensive form of both teams and the 'under' statistics prevail.

Confidence

High

Draw

Penybont has drawn 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). Colwyn Bay has only drawn one (10%), but its away win rate is not overwhelming. Penybont, at home, is struggling (only 1 win in 10 matches). Penybont's poor offensive form and Colwyn Bay's ability to get results away (3 wins as an outsider in 7 occasions) could lead to a points share. The odds reflect this possibility (3.14).

3.22

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Penybont vs Colwyn Bay

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Penybont vs Colwyn Bay Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Penybont	Colwyn Bay
Win	1 4 5	5 1 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	100%
Win by being a favorite	25%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	17%	57%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	43%
Win by being an outsider	0%	43%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	20%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Chris Venables	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Jordan Davies
Alexander Cvetkovic	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Aeron Edwards
Mael Davies	⚽1	⚽1	George Hughes
Noah Daley	⚽1	⚽1	Nathan Peate
		⚽1	Lewis Sirrell
		⚽1	Ryan Astles
		⚽1	Louis Robles
		⚽1	Jamie Cumming

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	50%	0%
Over corners 7.5	50%	0%
Over corners 8.5	50%	0%
Over corners 9.5	50%	0%
Over corners 10.5	50%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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