Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle: our prediction
24/02/2026•20:00
Luton Town
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Plymouth Argyle
-
1
-
X
-
2
Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle Preview — EFL Trophy Final Stage
Luton Town, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts Plymouth Argyle in the EFL Trophy. Despite being the favorite, Luton shows mixed form with only 3 wins in their last 10 matches, while Plymouth, away from home, presents a more solid record (7W/1D/2L). Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with goals from both sides.
Our Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Luton Town's games (6/10). Plymouth Argyle shows the same rate (6/10). Luton's defense has kept a clean sheet only once, while Plymouth has done so four times, but often against weaker opponents. Plymouth's attack, with Aribim Pepple (8 goals), is effective. Recent form and statistics strongly support this scenario.
1.54
Confidence
High
Under 1.5 goals (per team) - Luton Town
Luton Town has scored under 1.5 goals (i.e., 0 or 1 goal) in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Their attack, led by Jordan Clark (3 goals), lacks consistency. Facing a Plymouth defense that has kept a clean sheet 40% of the time in this period, it is likely that Luton will score at most one goal. This solid statistic is the most reliable indicator in the JSON for Luton.
1.57
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals (per match)
Luton Town has seen over 2.5 goals in 50% of its last 10 matches (5/10). Plymouth Argyle shows a higher rate of 70% (7/10). Plymouth's matches tend to be high-scoring, with an attack that has scored regularly. The combination of Luton's occasional defensive vulnerability and Plymouth's offensive efficiency makes a match with over two goals plausible. However, Luton's recent home form calls for moderate caution.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 60% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasey Palmer | 50% (5/10) | 57% (4/7) | Lorent Tolaj |
| Jordan Clark | 43% (3/7) | 38% (3/8) | Aribim Pepple |
| Shayden Morris | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Malachi Boateng |
| Nahki Wells | 25% (2/8) | 33% (2/6) | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu |
| Jake Richards | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Alexander Mitchell |
| Hakeem Odoffin | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Owen Oseni |
| Emilio Lawrence | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Mathias Ross |
| Ali Al Hamadi | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Caleb Watts |
| Liam Walsh | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Ronan Curtis |
| Kal Naismith | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Owen Dale |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasey Palmer | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Aribim Pepple |
| Nahki Wells | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Lorent Tolaj |
| Jordan Clark | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Owen Oseni |
| Jake Richards | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu |
| Shayden Morris | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Alexander Mitchell |
| Emilio Lawrence | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Malachi Boateng |
| Hakeem Odoffin | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Caleb Watts |
| Kal Naismith | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ronan Curtis |
| Ali Al Hamadi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mathias Ross |
| Liam Walsh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Owen Dale |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 100% |
2.5 | 10% | 50% |
3.5 | 0% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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