HJK - IFK Mariehamn: our prediction
30/05/2026•14:00
HJK
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
IFK Mariehamn
-
1
-
X
-
2
HJK vs IFK Mariehamn Preview — Veikkausliiga
HJK, the clear favorite, hosts IFK Mariehamn. Statistics show a clear dominance for HJK, especially at home, while Mariehamn struggles away. Both teams tend to score, but HJK's defense looks solid.
Our HJK vs IFK Mariehamn predictions
Under 1.5 goals for IFK Mariehamn
IFK Mariehamn has scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Against an HJK side that has kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 matches and is the favorite, it is likely that Mariehamn will not score more than one goal.
1.14
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 3.5 goals in the match
In HJK's last 10 matches, 7 have had under 3.5 goals. For IFK Mariehamn, this figure is 9 out of 10. Combined with HJK's expected defensive solidity at home, it is likely the match stays under this threshold.
1.72
Confidence
High (65%)
HJK to win
HJK is the favorite with odds of 1.2. In their last 10 matches, HJK has won 4 times, including 2 as a favorite with odds between 1.00 and 1.20. IFK Mariehamn has lost 5 of their last 10 matches and has not won any of their last 10 away games. HJK's home dominance is a key factor.
1.18
Confidence
High (65%)
Market signals on HJK vs IFK Mariehamn
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
HJK vs IFK Mariehamn Statistics
Win
Win | 4 3 3 | 2 3 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 38% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Borchers | 38% (3/8) | 33% (2/6) | Sebastian Dahlstroem |
| Lassi Lappalainen | 25% (2/8) | 29% (2/7) | Anttoni Huttunen |
| Alfie Cicale | 29% (2/7) | 14% (1/7) | Emmanuel Patut |
| Liam Moeller | 25% (2/8) | 17% (1/6) | Aaro Soiniemi |
| Mustafa Ameen | 100% (1/1) | 20% (1/5) | Adam Larsson |
| David Ezeh | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Toivo Mero | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Martin Kirilov | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Emil Levealahti | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Mihailo Bogicevic | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Teemu Pukki | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Borchers | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Sebastian Dahlstroem |
| Liam Moeller | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Anttoni Huttunen |
| Teemu Pukki | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Aaro Soiniemi |
| Martin Kirilov | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Emmanuel Patut |
| Alfie Cicale | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ola Melander |
| David Ezeh | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Adam Larsson |
| Toivo Mero | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Algot Fyrqvist |
| Lassi Lappalainen | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Emil Levealahti | ⚽1 | ||
| Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | ⚽1 | ||
| Mihailo Bogicevic | ⚽1 | ||
| Mustafa Ameen | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 50% |
1.5 | 30% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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